Awesome !!! I really appreciate the way you are trying to predict the stock future.
What do you mean by mission critical application? Can you tell me the percenatge of the IT companies those are into this and out of those how many are listed in NASDAQ? Do your RnD you will get the answer :)
Do you know about the company 'Intelligroup'. I think they are much more into SAP since last 10 years or so. What is the stock price of that now? Now it is only $1.45 :)
So I don't agree the way you are trying to analyse the stock.
As an investor we should look and provide proper parameters and information in the community which will help all of us to grow.