Call it intuition but I think the reduction in distribution was anticipatory rather then factual and the earnings tomorrow will be a surprise. I'm expecting 18.50 today and who knows how high tomorrow.
I think that both of you are way to optimistic. I originally thought it would easily be over $18 this morning and might go over $20 before ex-dividend. The more I think about it, my latest purchase at $17.50 may have been a mistake. They have stated they will ony cover 68% of the 2011 distribution and if 2012 1Q stays this warm, can they even reach that level for 2012? Really makes me wonder if they will cut the distribution by over 50%. I have never shorted a stock, but am seriously considering selling my position and then going short. Tomorrows earnings report really makes me nervous about what they state the 2012 dcf and expected distribution might be.