The traders will have a lot of fun trading AMPE, but the long term investors will make the BIG profits.
What do you want? . . . ACTION? . . . OR PROFITS? You can't have both.
Sentiment: Strong Buy
I just hope this we haven't seen the high for the year/intermediate term. Or, worse, a repeat of 2011 which had a major runup to a 7-handle and a story much like the current
per Nov 2011 SA article:
1. "Ampion also demonstrated efficacy in treating osteoarthritis in the knee, giving Ampio various angles for which to target FDA approval"
2. "Optina trials due to conclude early next year"
3. "other licensing deals potentially in the works for the sexual dysfunction drug, Zertane"
A subsequent negative story caused a 30% decline the next month.
So, as of Nov 2013:
Ampion is a clear winner, but the current NPV is for the pipeline is still low teens. It would be good to see if NPV estimates are revised after the FDA meeting. Optina was not a huge factor in the original NPV due to a much lower chance of success relative to Ampion.
Still - I'm in it for the long term per Racavalli's comments.
In 2011 there was a whole lot garbage written about Macaluso and misrepresentations of his Isologen relationships, fear mongering about the expiration of the lock-ups on millions of insider shares, and far less scientific validation of the Ampio pipeline. That'snot to say some other fictional smear campaign won't be launched, but as superforce points out, the SPRING trial (and other data) have taken much of the risk away. also, the absolute and total lack of ANY insider selling has shown how much of the bashing articles was pure fear mongering.
..almost all of the risk has been taken out of the stock with the extremely positive Ampion Spring Trial results, which were a homerun. As I've said before, Optina would merely be icing on the cake in regards to the potential of Ampion. What is there negative to write about now? Now we wait for what kind of decision the FDA makes in regards to AMPE's application for a Biologic License for Ampion. I feel very good that they will get some kind of fast track/accelerated approval.
True, but the tutes arriving will create a stable base from which the traders can play. Never been a trader as fall in love with the story and people and usually stick around for the ride way too long, but still have lots of fund along the way. With our Fiat Currency system, does it really matter in the long run and further, we have John Maynard Keynes famous long run analysis validating that it truly does not matter....