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Emmis Communications Corp. Message Board

  • deepvalueboy deepvalueboy Apr 21, 2010 9:31 PM Flag

    Radio Stock Favorites

    Longtimefollower I have just started to start to do research on the sector. At current prices, how would you rank order your favorite names and can you provide a brief basis in terms of the support for your rankings? If anyone else on this board has an informed outlook I would love for you to post your current views as well. Someone on these boards has recently provided links to re ad pacings -- unfortunately the news stories appear to be password protected. Subscriptions look expensive. Do you find the value high enough to justify the cost to subscribe or are you in the industry so that you have free access? What do you find to be the best resource in terms of industry publications, sell side research etc. to help you do fundamental research on the sector?

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    • Personally, I find InsideRadio worth every penny. Try it for a month, and see what you think.

      I don't know which are my favorites any more, with all the moves in these stocks. The reality is, at this point, my position in EMMS and CMLS are very similar....and my largest positions in radio stocks. I would GUESS that CMLS might be $7-7.50 or so by the end of this year, and EMMS could be $3-4, so I guess EMMS might outshine CMLS...but realistically, the potential is kind of similar, and CMLS seems somewhat less risky in terms of the expected cash flow coverage on the debt. While, on the other hand, even at $1.90, EMMS has more speculative appeal.

      One thing is for sure: This industry is not the spectacular fundamental long term buy it had, essentially, continuously been since about 18 months ago. But it is still, overall, a very good buy. And still, probably, one of the best industry groups to be in right now, from a "timeliness" perspective. (I still believe there's a lot of "Street" money that is going to pile into this sector, as the earnings reports darn near "shock" the Street into how good things are going here. And the sector has been SO out of favor, that any kind of turnaround could still yield dramatic results to the upside. Imagine the notion: "sex appeal" returning to radio? Incredible.

    • "what do you find to be the best resource..."

      Short answer: longtime

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