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Athenahealth, Inc. (ATHN) Message Board

  • johnsonc159 johnsonc159 Dec 4, 2012 12:04 PM Flag

    ATHN is on a topmost 20 Overvalued index


    Based on a formula at Extreme Value Stocks ATHN is on a topmost 20 Overvalued index

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    • Still there now?

      • 1 Reply to laurice660236
      • georgespelvin Feb 9, 2013 3:12 PM Flag

        I went and looked. Do not see that list but do see their write-up. They have a fair value of $12.23.

        That represents the same price to various financial metrics afforded to Apple.

        The difference is that Athena is almost completely owned by institutions while Apple was owned by millions of retail shareholders who tend to be momentum traders. Which accelerates moves on the way up and down.

        I am going to sign up for this site. Very interesting. They are good at assembling disparate data into meaningful information based points of view. That is rare.

        Very few stock sites do that with fundamentals. They just spout the fundamentals with no attempt to take a stand.


        With respect to Athena I assume we will have to wait until Bush delivers the bad next quarter he alluded to.

        Whatever concerns drove the stock down from 97 to 58 before exists now but in spades. You cannot get from here to decent multiples at the current stock price by growing revenues 30% with profit growth of 11% esp considering that the net margin steadily decreases.

        Reality will come home to roost. This has a 10% up risk and a 50% down risk. I am short and will stay short.

        Again. Having nothing to do with thinking it is a bad company. It is a fine okay company that offers very little that is actually different from a bunch of other vendors. It is just an absurdly over priced stock. With the wrinkle that it is held by strong hands.

        Every $300 million dollar mindshare acquisition counts.

    • georgespelvin Dec 5, 2012 4:46 PM Flag

      These longs do not care about value. They are informed by a higher power. Magical thinking.

      Sentiment: Strong Sell

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