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Universal Security Instruments Inc. Message Board

  • mmmparsley mmmparsley Mar 5, 2007 9:27 PM Flag

    Any idea how much HD will increase...

    Does anybody have any idea how much UUU's products being offered in Home Depot will effect future revenues? And any idea how competitive the price of UUU's products will be versus Kidde or other potential competitors?

    I'm rather ignorant to both of these questions, but I thought I'd toss them out to see if anybody has an intelligent response.

    I believe that although UUU's recent Q was lackluster, it wasn't ever going to be a breakthrough quarter because of the recent acquisition.

    I think from this quarter (or the next) onward we'll start to complement HK joint venture growth with US growth. IT appears the table has been set, and when the US commercial and residential market begins to heat up just slightly, UUU could experience rapid growth because of their astute jockeying during a very weak market period.

    What do you think of a 12-13 PE right now? I certainly don't think we should expect 20, even though it may be merited.

    Does anybody have any guesstimate for a Future PE, as no analyst has yet covered UUU. Growth rates over the next 5-10 years? I would think no less than 7% in a poor market and no more than 30% in a strong market (30% -probably not achievable over a 10 year period).

    That's rather open, but even if use the 7% growth estimate, we are at fair value right now, and should move up around 8-10% per annum over the next 5 years. At the 30% estimate we could see 120 a share with a 13 PE in 2012 or 33-35% per annum over the next 5 years.

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