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Retractable Technologies, Inc. Message Board

  • kaiser.moore kaiser.moore Jan 31, 2014 12:25 PM Flag

    Is delay a good sign?

    It is probably a good sign that it has taken so long after the January 14th court date. The judge certainly has the ruling ready to go, he probably did the week of January 14th, as a result of his familiarity with the case. However, he has given the sides a chance to agree to terms and from the delay, the companies are using this opportunity to talk. Furthermore, in his statement, the judge mentioned that the sides agreed to mediation. If BDX and RVP, weren't willing to make a deal, they would not have agreed to mediation. Also, in their last earnings release, BDX mentioned that they have a corporate strategy of acquiring small companies, with synergy potential; RVP is a perfect candidate in order to demonstrate to their shareholders that they are serious about growth. If the companies want to make a deal, it usually takes about 3-4 weeks, once the investment bankers and lawyers get involved. I simply return to the fact that there is such a huge win-win scenario if the companies strike a deal, that both sides would have to be mentally impaired to not agree to a $250M takeover/settlement. For BDX, they are risking $450M plus an injunction as opposed to reaping a great deal of RVP intrinsic value from the patent as well as synergy from distribution. For RVP, they are risking a slow and painful legal fight that could last another couple years, against an 800 pound guerilla. As such, I reiterate my belief that both sides are smart and more importantly self-interested, and we'll be seeing a deal for approximately $8.5/share in the next two weeks.

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    • I have won cases i should have lost and lost cases I should have won. The odds are heavily weighted in favor of RVP but Shaw is a wild card..

      There was some buying at the close. Did some news leak out and a settlement is in the works? I hope so.

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