You cannot make a bet when you do not know who is playing. Right ? How fast did Obama appear ? One " wow " (perfect) speech (which he didn't right of course ) at one convention. I saw that live and thougth to myself why i liked republicans and he will be presi in 4 years , and voila.. Where peoples feelings are right now, any Republican superstar "could appear. It's all about saying or not saying the right thing at the right time.
I think Obama IS a moderate and, without a doubt, the most competent President we have had since Bill Clinton. The guy is: a pragmatist, well intentioned, middle of the road politically, he has the people*s interests at heart rather than the big corporations*. (At least until the sheep, courtesy of Fox News, concluded that the interests of big corporations ARE their interests... I just cannot wait to see Joe the Plumber sipping tea in Beijing with Jeff Immelt... Hey, Jeff, can we make a pit-stop in Bombay on the way home... I hear they are hiring plumbers... and I just love those spicy curries... More tea?)
Really, I do not get all the hostility to Obama... If America needs a scape-goat there are many others with less competence and more culpability to criticize/blame. Like DeLay and the criminal faction of the Republican Party.