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Dot Hill Systems Corporation Message Board

  • italianex1 italianex1 Feb 27, 2014 11:58 AM Flag

    Low volume till earnings?

    Looks like it.....always scary as earnings approach. I'm gonna hold through it with a stop loss set at 5

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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    • You people (and many of Wall St) don't fully get the massive sales and EPS increase that Hill will deliver in 2014 and 2015. There is a huge shift and change in competitive dynamics that has happened in IT and Hill has and will benefit greatly. Look at only 2 data points - (1) Hill Mgmt owns over 2 Million shares and they have NOT sold - not even 5% of their shares. If you owned say 700,000 shares at say $2 and stock was $5.5 and you thought there was a chance sales and EPS were going to be not going to grow much faster than Wall St expectations, you would sell say 200,000 or even 100,000 shares. But HIll Mgmt has NOT. Second, add up all the new customers and new business from existing customers from their Jan 2014 slides and you will see that it conservatively equals about $145M. Now add that to the $200M run rate they already have and you get $345M in sales. Knock even $45M out of that and you get $300M. Wall st on the high end expects $235. I don't waste my time trading Hill, I am going to get the benefits of Long Term Capital gains by holding for 1 year or more. Have better things to do that trade and get a few cents here or there. Hill is going to $10+ for sure by the end of 2014. Trade or stop loss, that is up to you - Hill Mgmt and big mutual fund investors buying and holding till $10!!

      Sentiment: Strong Buy

    • Stop losses can mess you up if there is much variance in the price of a stock. Not a good idea IMHO. More important is when does it hit 6 dollars. jmo

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