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Pfizer Inc. Message Board

  • chrt13 chrt13 Mar 13, 2008 2:10 AM Flag

    How my 100K investment in Pfizer is faring

     

    12/01 - 180,300 ($27.86)
    12/04 - 098,985 ($24.90) Torcetrapib failure
    12/29 - 128,925 ($25.90) Year-end 2006 close
    06/01 - 196,065 ($27.68) Closing high for 2007
    07/17 - 152,000 ($25.96) Session prior to Q2-07 earnings
    07/31 - 064,285 ($23.51) Interim low valuation
    10/05 - 138,925 ($25.58) Last major high of 2007
    10/31 - 102,250 ($24.61) Just before credit crunch fears
    11/26 - 027,895 ($22.30) Closing low for 2007
    12/07 - 091,635 ($24.40) Interim high
    12/31 - 037,845 ($22.73) Year-end 2007 close
    01/03 - 051,680 ($23.18)
    01/04 - 038,340 ($22.83)
    01/08 - 060,690 ($23.47) S & P loses 5.3% first week in Jan.
    01/10 - 079,945 ($24.08)
    01/22 - 014,175 ($22.23) S & P loses 10.7% YTD
    01/23 - 034,985 ($22.86) Q4-07 earnings, key reversal day
    01/24 - 040,615 ($23.05)
    01/25 - 024,160 ($22.61)
    02/01 - 057,110 ($23.59) S & P gains 5.3% from 1/22 low
    02/04 - 059,220 ($23.63)
    02/05 - 037,965 ($22.96) 370-point Dow loss
    02/06 - 035,210 ($22.59) XD 32 cts, 3-day S & P loss of 4.9%
    02/11 - 021,605 ($22.20)
    02/13 - 036,440 ($22.74)
    02/15 - 023,180 ($22.33)
    02/26 - 039,980 ($22.83)
    02/29 - 021,820 ($22.28) 316-point Dow loss
    03/10 -(014,525)($21.15) S & P loses 7.8% since 2/27, 2008 low
    03/11 - 001,590 ($21.72) Dow gains 417 points
    03/12 -($13,475)($21.28)


    Since year-end 2006, the investment is down by 110.5% ($142,400) on a 12.2% decrease in the stock price including four 29-cent quarterly dividend payments and one 32-cent payment. Excluding dividends, the stock is down by 17.8% since then.

    From 11/17/04 inception, the investment is down by 32.7% annualized with the S & P 500 compounded annualized return being a positive 3.2%.

    This investment is highly-leveraged to the point where I earn about six times what a buy-and-hold investor does up to $27.50. However, I still earn a decent return if the stock does nothing at all (20 to 25% earned per year).

    My current breakeven is now $24.45 at June options expiration. Every point between $22.50 and $25.00 means about 41K over time. Between $25.01 and $27.50, every point means about 39K.
    Every point below $22.50 means about 28K.

    With the stock at the same closing price as it is now ($21.28) at June options expiration, the investment would be valued at negative 14K.

    If Pfizer is $25.00 at June expiration, I will be
    able to cash out for 123K factoring in the effects of remaining rollovers.

    If Pfizer is $27.50 at June expiration, I will be able to cash out for 220K.

    If Pfizer is $31 in mid-January 2009, I will be able to cash out for at least 340K

    This topic is deleted.
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