Post-GOP convention odds by Ladbrokes the largest bookmaker in the U.K.:
Every five pounds wagered on Obama will win you two.
If you like Romney, you wager eight pounds to try and win fifteen.
By the way, I'm sure that Ladbrokes sees the outlier polls by the likes of Rasmussen and others and they still have the odds as shown above.
Explain please, Statistical Stupe, how a poll can be an "outlier" when it has the best record over the past two decades of any political poll in the country, & which has since Aug 11 shown exactly the same trend as RCP's average of polls, namely from Obama up almost five points to now tied, or in most recent polls, Romney leading?
Here's a good point:
The decisive vote in the matter, according to my sources, was cast by David Axelrod, Obama’s chief political strategist, who argued that the Obamas needed Clinton far more than Clinton needed them. Axelrod had long been aware that things were not going as well for Obama as the mainstream media reported. On the eve of the party’s presidential convention, Democrats had outspent Republicans 4 to 1 and had poured more than $200 million into negative commercials against Mitt Romney, and yet polls showed the race to be a dead heat, with Romney beginning to pull ahead in some critical swing states.
Read more: http://www.nypost.com/p/news/opinion/opedcolumnists/how_clinton_plans_to_upstage_the_2FwMFHFfkOGNT8OfwaFkmO#ixzz25J13VFUU
When are you going to answer the question repeatedly asked by your betters?
How exactly is an iPhone different for polling purposes from the cell phones that Rasmussen & other valid surveys handled so perfectly in prior elections?
I'm not exactly a techie and in fact I have never even had a cellphone. I use landlines which have worked for me for over 69 years and will continue working for me.
From what I have read, I surmise that there is no such thing as the equivalent of yellow pages for i-Phones. Those who are not "friends" or whatever would have no way of being able to contact thee people.
As always, you've totally garbled what you imagine you read, memoryless moron.
As a phone number to be polled, there is no difference between an iPhone or any other smartphone & a cell phone from the '90s. All the same polling problems apply.
Pollsters know how to sample cell phone users, some surveys better than others. The very best methodology belongs to Rasmussen, which is one reason why it has enjoyed such success.
So STFU about iPhones, ignoramus, unless you can make a coherent argument about them based upon facts. You apparently have forgotten that everyone else but you on this board has used cell phones for decades & most probably now have iPhones or an equivalent smartphone, so your idiotic garbage is laughable to us.
At least one Brit understands what's at stake in this election, even if the illegal space alien from Planet Chartnuts doesn't:
It appears at least one Limey gets it. Margaret Thatcher was right. We have run out of other people's money. Nobody gets it. Left or right, we (the government) are out of money and nothing is going to change that.