Superior methods in tracking Obama's margins in battlefield states
Here is an excerpt from your post:
Only polls conducted entirely after Oct 3 count.
Really? How about all of the network and university polls from the last week of September showing Obama to be up in some cases by high single-digit and even low double-digit percentages? Do you think that completely throwing out those polls from two to three weeks ago shows what is really going on? In a number of cases now, I have seen those organizations which only conduct polls every two or three weeks post their new post-debate numbers. Yes - the margins are down a little - some polls that were showing Obama by 7 are now Obama by 5,. etc. but the simple truth is when all of those organizations have conducted their post-debate polls, those hefty Obama margins are coming back only they will be a little less hefty.
What a joke to think that a late September network or university poll in an upper Midwest state like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan and Ohio just disappears. It only disappears until they have posted new numbers and I assure you that the 5, 7 and 10-point Obama leads of late September will still be nice Obama leads.
Only a true simpleton would think that he can dig his head in the sand and make believe that all of the hefty Obama polls from late September will just go poof and disappear for good. I assure you they are coming back and that is why Romney won't show an inch of further progress and in fact figures to lose some of the so-called recently-gained ground.