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Pfizer Inc. Message Board

  • fizrwinnr11 fizrwinnr11 Jul 13, 2013 11:38 AM Flag

    Updating the 300K BIDU portfolio

    03/25 - transfer in 300,000 from the Pfizer portfolio. BIDU stock is at $84.85, S & P 500 is 1,557

    03/25 - 302,740 - ($85.33) RSI 35.0
    04/02 - 323,085 - ($88.12) RSI 46.6
    04/05 - 293,125 - ($83.59) RSI 34.8, lowest stock close and valuation from inception
    04/12 - 337,805 - ($90.62) RSI 56.9
    04/22 - 306,925 - ($85.66) RSI 42.2
    04/25 - 349,725 - ($92.34) RSI 60.2
    04/26 - 305,205 - ($85.02) RSI 44.2, Q1-13 earnings and 2013 outlook disappoint
    05/03 - 300,285 - ($84.51) RSI 43.5
    06/10 - 428,205 - (102.99) RSI 66.9 - highest stock close and valuation from inception
    06/24 - 352,765 - ($89.89) RSI 37.8)
    06/28 - 382,900 - ($94.60) RSI 49.3)
    07/03 - 351,125 - ($89.22) RSI 38.5)
    07/05 - 360,660 - ($91.52) RSI 44.6)
    07/11 - 392,305 - ($97.08) RSI 57.3)
    07/12 - 387,575 - ($96.85) RSI 56.7)


    Up 29.2%. Portfolio gain to date
    Up 14.1%. BIDU stock from inception

    Up 07.9%. S & P 500 from inception of investment (1,557 to 1,680)


    Note: This is one of the fastest-growing companies its size in the world but with a sharp one-year slowdown in 2013 due to massive R & D expenses this year. The recent earnings history and downwardly-revised consensus expectations for this dominant Chinese search engine are as follows:

    $1.53 in 2010 (actual)
    $3.02 in 2011 (actual)
    $4.79 in 2012 (actual)
    $4.93 in 2013 (consensus - 03% expected annual growth)
    $6.27 in 2014 (consensus - 27% expected annual growth)
    $7.47 in 2015 (consensus - 19% expected annual growth)

    The leverage factor for this investment is around 2. Over time, each point higher in the stock will be worth $8,300.

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