We use 50 million pounds a year so do the math on the EPA phaseout schedule.
What the EPA is calling its “preferred HCFC-22 consumption allocation for 2015-2019” shows a production allowance of 30 million pounds in 2015, 24 million pounds in 2016, 18 million pounds in 2017, 12 million pounds in 2018, 6 million pounds in 2019, and zero in 2020. If you believe in economics, prices will rise to meet supply reductions. The production decline in 2015 is 22 million pounds over 2014 and that is 6 months from now. The price rise could be dramatic. Reclaimed product prices are the only game in town after 2019 so guess what kind of prices we will see. Hudson will be $20/shr on $2.00 of earnings or higher.