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Deckers Outdoor Corp. Message Board

  • questioncnbc questioncnbc Sep 9, 2013 7:18 PM Flag

    Weather forecast our friend

    Over the next 10 days, weather expected to drop into high 50's in the evenings and early mornings with highs of low 70's.

    We have a decent 10 year rate to make our stock attractive. We have early cool weather to start the busy months for us off right. We have 10M shorts staring at an 18 wheeler coming at them.

    We have management that has 79M available to buyback stock(if they haven;t already used some this quarter).

    Biggest of all, we have funds that want this name on their sheets at the end of the quarter.


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    • Stocks revolve around catalysts. There generally has to be a reason or presumption the market is going to make/is making when a stock moves in a direction.

      Catalysts for us

      1. Interest rate at 2.9% or above makes us more attractive than non growers and most dividend stocks
      2. Cold weather is our friend and September is getting chilly pretty early which bodes well for us as management called for conservative growth of 8%(despite the raised guidance last quarter which was never priced in) and fund managers now see it is likely to be better.
      3 Potential for management to come out with good news about sheepskin prices for 2014
      4. Reviews on Zappos, Nordstrom and UGGS site popping up already
      5. Fund managers NEED badly to have this stock on their papers
      6. 10M shorts looking to be roadkill. Lost 80M in just the last 15 trading days and stock closing at new 52 week high
      7. 79M available for buyback

      By december, could eaily be at 85/share.


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