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TPC Group Inc Message Board

  • aquablue94131 aquablue94131 Jan 27, 2012 3:35 PM Flag

    How much room to run here?

    I'm in but afraid of adding as I'm already up 50% since December 19th! I remember there used to be an Oppenheimer $33 target. Anyone know the latest?


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    • Just saw Oppenheimer raised to $37

      • 2 Replies to aquablue94131
      • I think Oppenheimer is too low at $37.
        While I didn't get in at the absolute lows (was buying on the way down starting at $25), I think this company has a lot of special things going for it that the market isn't fully appreciating at $30 or even $40/shr. My own personal view is something more like $50-60ish would be fair value in the current market(higher with time), and hopefully during 1H12 when we get an update on dehydro #2 and more numbers are framed around it, this stock will garner more attention. I remember two calls ago when the management team was asked if an additional $600mn in EBITDA at current prices was a reasonable estimate for dehydro #2 and the company did not argue with that assumption. If this company is doing even $400-500mn in annual EBITDA in the next 2-3 years, I don't see how we can stay anywhere close to mid-$30's.

        Just my $.02, but I'll be long and strong this stock for a while....