At this time before the election, Reagan was 9 points behind. Romney is only 4 points behind and two very important factors are in the works. The movie 2016 is introducing the real Obama and depicting what life will be like in 2016 if he wins. It is getting rave reviews and will soon be showing throughout the country. Also, The producer of the excellent CD "Dreams From My REAL Father" has launched a program to send a CD to every household in America. They have already been sent to all homes in Ohio, Florida, and Virginia. That should soon reflect in the polls from those states. Try to place a bet on Obama in Las Vegas; that will give you a better idea than all the polls put together.