no candlestick pattern is 100% reliable, this has the classic setup though. if it starts trading up above 66.10 then I know its a fake out. risk is well defined. you can say the bigz drove it up but they also drove it down... it puked up almost a full days worth of volume in the first hour. that pukefest indicates that sentiment is waning. need to keep in mind that it still finished DOWN on an UP DAY. Also very extended, over 20% above the 200dma. These are tells. In this market it may go to 70 tomorrow but a bearish candlestick formation tomorrow is confirmation.