I won't be surprised if this falls below $15 tomorrow. AH low this evening was $15.10.
Big rev miss and big loss next qtr. why? No new product and no rev stream. So you have to value this company based on each and every qtr product releases. And don't expect full year profit until 2015 and beyond. Lot of things can change in the next 2 years. If the stock values are based on NPV or fulture EPS growth or consistent revenue growth, I don't know how you can value this company.
At this point everything is a guess. A lot can change in the next 2 years before this company can start or assuming they wlll make consistent profit.