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NVR, Inc. Message Board

  • merlynp merlynp Feb 21, 2002 9:43 AM Flag

    NVR Value! says:

    PRICE: NVR closed on 02/20/2002 at $253.93 per share.

    VALUE: NVR has a Value of $388.48 per share. Value is the foundation of the VectorVest system. It is a measure of what a stock is currently worth. Value is based upon earnings, earnings growth rate, dividend payments, dividend growth rate, and financial performance. Current interest and inflation rates also play an important role in the computation of Value. When interest and/or inflation rates decrease, Value goes up. When interest rates and inflation increase, Value goes down. Sooner or later a stock's Price and Value always converge.

    RV (Relative Value): NVR has an RV of 1.45. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RV of 1.45 is excellent. RV reflects the long-term price appreciation potential of the stock compared to an alternative investment in AAA Corporate Bonds.

    RS (Relative Safety): NVR has an RS rating of 1.18. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RS of 1.18 is very good. VectorVest looks at safety from the viewpoint of an equity investor (one who is buying stock of a company) rather than that of a purchaser of debt (one who is lending money to the company). From this perspective, consistency of financial and operating performance, stock price appreciation history, and price volatility are the key factors used in the evaluation of Relative Safety (RS).

    RT (Relative Timing): NVR has an RT rating of 1.66. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RT
    of 1.66 is excellent. RT is a fast, responsive, short-term price trend indicator. It analyzes the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price behavior over the last 13 weeks; then reflects and projects the short-term price performance of the stock. in an uptrend.

    VST-Vector (VST): NVR has a VST-Vector rating of 1.45. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an VST of 1.45 is excellent. VST-Vector solves the dilemma of balancing Value, Safety and Timing. Stocks with high RV values often have low RS values, or stocks with low RV and RS values have high RT's.

    GRT (Growth Rate): NVR has a GRT of 21 % per year. This is excellent. GRT stands for forecasted Earnings Growth Rate in percent per year. GRT is updated each week for every stock.

    Recommendation (REC): NVR has a Buy recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks which are rising in price, and to avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks which are falling in price.

    VectorVest is tuned to give an "H" or "B" signal when a stock's price is approximately 10% above a recent low, and an "S" signal when the stock's price is approximately 10% below a recent high. High RV, RS stocks are favored toward receiving "B" REC's, and sheltered from receiving "S" RECs.

    STOP-PRICE: NVR has a Stop-Price of 221.48 per share. This is 32.45 or 12.8 % below its current closing Price. VectorVest analyzes over 7,400 stocks each day for Value, Safety and Timing, and
    calculates a Stop-Price for each stock. These Stop-Prices are based upon 13 week moving averages of closing prices, and are fine-tuned according to each stock's fundamentals.

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