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Intel Corporation Message Board

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  • getanid61 getanid61 Nov 8, 2011 10:52 PM Flag

    INTC vs. ARMH

    all that matters is where they go from here...

    all tech is about to get a refresh from the new fabs...
    gonna be good for the whole industry...

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    • Exactly what I said in Jan of 2010....Should have loaded up on ARMH....

      • 3 Replies to koroundiii
      • ltisteve@verizon.net ltisteve Nov 9, 2011 2:09 AM Flag

        Not saying anything about ARMH from a technical perspective but yes Walley is right, fabs will be a concern. My largest concern about ARMH is the P/E ratio. If you give it an Intel P/E than ARMH is a $5 stock. The rest is a premium. Along with the premium is the assumption that you will make some sick, fat profits.

        ARMH has moved up from 2010 and will continue to grow sales, but now we are starting to learn what to expect from the company. Can the company double in size in 12 months? Probably not, can it achieve 20 percent growth? Perhaps.

        When the hypergrowth story doesn't play out and more time goes by and the company is achieving nice sales but not the insane sales that are predicted, the P/E will start to slide down regardless of increases in sales.

        The worst thing ARMH has going against it isn't Intel, it's the many articles written about it that create an unrealistic expectations about it's future. One article I read said that ARMH will own nearly 1/3 of the server market sales by the end of 2012. I am willing to bet everything I own that this won't happen. Intel said that market will be about 15% of the entire market by 2015.

        When you buy ARMH you are in bed with some large institutional investors. These are the most fickle bunch of people on the planet. They'll pull out and move money to a video game company next week if they think they will make more money.

        Can ARMH go to $50 next year? Maybe, but it's just as likely to crash down to 15. This could be the single best time to buy ARMH, but I think a better time was when it was around $20 a share.

        Intel is a longer term gamble. It's going to earn each dollar uptick. Not as interesting, but I do expect we'll be in the 30's next year. ARMH? Who knows? It's price depends on selling the Cinderella story.

      • Yep, and now everyone should unload ARM. Before the media grasps the seriousness of ARM's fabrication crisis...

      • You just might think about loading on what will support Win8

        Supporting windows did wonders for INtel...

    • "all tech is about to get a refresh from the new fabs...
      gonna be good for the whole industry..."

      ***

      The new fabs are all Intel. Why would they be good for any of the non-Intel tech companies?

 
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