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Plum Creek Timber Co. Inc. Message Board

  • skinz4q skinz4q Dec 1, 2010 11:23 AM Flag

    How Safe The Dividend???

    With earnings far below the current dividend payout, I'm wondering whether PCL can continue to pay the current rate. I used the pop today to unload my position at a profit into strength. It seems to me that the recommendation by Motley Fool might have given the stock a temporary boost and provided an opportunity to stand aside for awhile. I very much like owning asset-rich companies in the current economic environment, but I'm nervous about the dividend.

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    • It's not true that the reception area has a photo of Charles Ponzi, but it makes you think. Doesn't it?

    • Here's a quote from the last conf. call:
      In the midst of the recession and slow recovery, Plum Creek has continued to perform well financially. We have strengthened our balance sheet and reduced future cash obligations by opportunistically paying down debt and repurchasing our stock. Our geographically diverse assets continue to grow in value, and we remain focused on growth in the value of the company in everything we do.

      Cash flow from our operations this year, exclusive of any changes in working capital, should be approximately $450 million, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of about 60%. Even without the Montana Conservation Sale that will close in the fourth quarter, our payout ratio would still only be 75%. So we remain very comfortable with our dividend

    • lumber futures up but good, land values very likely to resume appreciation.... seems like alot of inflation protection while receiving a healthy payout. Why would they cut the dididend now ????? Buy the dip!

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