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Apollo Education Group, Inc. Message Board

  • dahnshaulis Apr 25, 2013 9:02 AM Flag

    Reflexive Thought and Economics (Why People Are Holding)

    By many measures, Apollo Group remains in freefall. Its cash pipeline is narrowing with each quarter despite increasing advertising. And there are several huge lawsuits coming down the pike. It continues to face government scrutiny even after the 2010 GAO Report and the 2012 Harkin Commission. And the University of Phoenix brand has become the butt of John Stewart jokes. So why are stockholders running toward the exits? My hypothesis is because of irrational behavior as explained by cognitive scientist Daniel Kahneman. This is why people why gamblers will continue to lose at the table to win back what they've lost. Those who are thinking clearly are shorting Apollo Group or are pumping and dumping (or working for Apollo Group).

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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    • Actually it does not remain in a free bottomed at 17.....if it didn't it would have dived down further when DV came out with its results this week.....I think 19-20 by the end of 2013

      • 1 Reply to taxguy0000001
      • dahnshaulis Apr 25, 2013 1:34 PM Flag

        I was looking at the 10 year charts and enrollment data. What happens to APOL stock price as revenues continue to be reduced from the government pipeline? APOL can do mass layoffs, sell off property, change leadership, offer a buyback, and increase advertising, but those are short-term fixes. Teacher pay is already as low as it can be. Without students, especially veterans and working class folks, Phoenix is heading towards its demise.

        Sentiment: Strong Sell

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