% | $
Quotes you view appear here for quick access.

SPDR Gold Shares Message Board

  • keybotthequant keybotthequant Aug 18, 2011 9:18 AM Flag

    Gold Weekly and Daily Charts - Significant Top

    Weekly Chart:

    CME announced the gold margin raise one week ago which had little effect on the parabolic price move, except as shown by the long shadow of the candle one week ago, with gold topping intraweek last week at about 1817. Following silver as an example, more margin raises are anticipated with each spanking gold price down as they occur.

    Independent of the margin raises, from a purley technical chart basis, gold is forming an M Top. Of interest is that as of a week ago, the indicators were all negatively diverged and a spankdown would be expected for price with gold placing a significant top. Sometimes divergences are divergences, until they aren't. Note the small red circles for the indicators. The RSI, MACD and histogram all managed to eek out a higher high, due to the momo of the parabolic move, indicating that they now want to see price come back up for a matching or higher high, before it rolls over. Note the red lines for stochastics and money flow that firmly show they want to see lower and lower gold prices for the weeks and months ahead.

    Thus, to satisfy the red circles, price will come back up to 1800-1830 to place its final top. When that occurs, the indicators with the red circles above will post lower highs, thus, the chart will be in universal agreement again with negative divergence across all the indicators, and the gold spank down can begin in earnest. Note the gaps below that require filling; they look like swiss cheese since the move up was so dramatic the last couple years. The 65 week MA line is a magnet for price, sometimes it takes months or years for price to come back home again, but like returning for Mom's home cookin', price will come back to the 65 week MA as time moves along, and, considering an overshoot to the downside, this target is 1300-1450. Note that in late 2009 price reached an exaggerated 300 dollar premium over the 65 week MA before retreating. Price is now 400 bucks over the 65 week MA!!

    Projection is an M Top forming now. This is a significant top for gold that is occurring. Within the month, the final print higher will be placed and gold will venture lower over the intermediate and longer term, for the weeks and months ahead. The alternate outcome is that another margin raise occurs at anytime and price will simply collapse more quickly.

    For gold charts use search box above for keystone speculator or view at public charts list keystone speculator.

    SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Most Replied Expand all replies
120.79-0.68(-0.56%)Oct 26 6:30 PMEDT