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The GEO Group, Inc. Message Board

  • sfwit sfwit Nov 18, 2004 4:56 AM Flag

    GGI Valuation

    In updating my stock info I do an intrinsic value calculation on Quicken.
    It shows 0 for GGI because:
    The long-term debt for GGI is greater than the projected value of GGI's earnings, so a positive intrinsic value per share for GGI cannot be calculated. Try using a higher earnings growth rate or a lower discount rate.

    � Walk through: If we assume initial earnings of $15.7 million grow at a rate of 5.05%, and we discount those future earnings at a rate of 15.00%, we arrive at a net present value for the company's next 10 years of earnings of $98.7 million. To account for potential earnings beyond the 10th year, we estimate a growth rate of 6.00%, a discount rate of 12.00%, and we arrive at a continuing value of $112 million. To complete the calculation we add these two figures together, subtract the long-term debt for GGI ($235 million), and divide by the outstanding shares (9.47 million) to get a per share intrinsic value of $0.00.

    I looked at earnings YTD and the debt amount and they seem correct.
    Any guesses for GGIs earning growth rate that would change the calculation?

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    • The market for shopping out immigrants and criminal aliens has peaked. There's no dough to keep that bandwagon going. Meanwhile, Civiletti bails, big time. What's up? Corporate fraud? No smoking gun, but you can smell the powder.
      Form 8-K for GEO GROUP INC

      Change in Directors or Principal Officers, Financial Statements and Exhibits

      Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Principal Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Principal Officers

      In a letter dated November 12, 2004, Benjamin R. Civiletti resigned from the board of directors of The GEO Group, Inc. ("GEO"). Prior to his resignation from GEO's board, Mr. Civiletii was the Chairman of the GEO board's Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee, and a member of the GEO board's Audit & Finance Committee, Operations and Oversight Committee and Independent Committee.

      In his resignation letter, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K, Mr. Civiletti stated that while the "leadership, hard work, and vision of [Mr. George C. Zoley, GEO's Chairman and CEO] over the past decade have been outstanding," he has "not agreed with the recent positions of management." Mr. Civiletti did not provide any additional reasons for his resignation and GEO does not think it would be appropriate to speculate on any such reasons.

      GEO will provide Mr. Civiletti with a copy of the disclosures it is making in response to this Item 5.02 no later than the date that this Form 8-K is filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. GEO will provide Mr. Civiletti with the opportunity to furnish GEO, as promptly as possible, with a letter addressed to GEO stating whether he agrees with the statements made by GEO in response to this Item 5.02 and if not, stating the respects in which he does not agree. Upon the receipt of any such letter from Mr. Civiletti, GEO will file the letter as an exhibit by an amendment to this Form 8-K, no later than two (2) business days following its receipt.

      Section 9 - Financial Statements and Exhibits
      Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
      (c) Exhibits
      99.1 Letter from Benjamin R. Civiletti to Dr. George C. Zoley, dated 11/12/04, resigning from the board of directors of The GEO Group, Inc.

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