If somebody is manipulating to the core how can one think of the trend/50day moving average and all that crap?
There are so many parameters no one can know when is the good time and bad time. Most of the times people get lucky and they think their logic is good and they have got good handle on the market trends.
To be honest there is nothing like one can predict except the group (MMs) that manipulate the PPS.
Today the whole market is down and its not just AIG.