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CBRE Group, Inc. Message Board

  • gogoderns gogoderns Jun 8, 2011 12:21 PM Flag

    CBG Stock Price lethargic

    I previously bought long into CBG back in single digits into the teens. Recently, I added some here in the higher 20's, but am disappointed in what appears to be a lethargic stock. I strongly believe in the company fundamentals. I appreciate any thoughts on why the stock price has maintained a continuous downward trend since the recent highs in low 29' it simply institutional distributions?

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    • Just started watching this stock, could you explain why you like it so much?

      one thing hurting this stock is "bad press" by shorters of the stock such as comments below:

      CB Richard Ellis (CBG): In early April I suggested shorting real estate services firms. Since then CB Richard Ellis reported a dismal quarter and is down from $28.50 to below $27/share. CBG eeked out combined net profits of $230M in 2009 and 2010 after losing over $1B in 2008, thanks largely to acquisitions outside the U.S. With loads of debt, massive insider selling in recent months, business grinding to a halt throughout the Middle East, austerity stricken Europe and CB Richard Ellis "for lease" signs littering industrial and commercial areas throughout my home state of California, CBG shares may soon retest 2009 lows near $2.

      • 1 Reply to ronwcook
      • there are probably more sellers than buyers right now as investors take some profits. the stock has had a good move over the last six months (up 20% while the S&P 500 is up about 3%) and investors may be a little hesitant to hold going into next qtr's earnings.

        mgmt has talked about increasing expenses in light of the recent increases in revenue. the stock was definitely a buy as the firm held expenses at bare minimum's and experienced revenue growth at the same time (all of 2010). now, it is possible that expenses will grow at a higher pace than revenue - at least in the short term (say 6 months).

        the stock is not going to retest the 09 lows. they don't have a debt problem. that was solved long ago. it is just a question of managing their variable expense base against the revenue they generate. hopefully mgmt won't blow to much $$ and the stock and get back to recent highs.

        for Q2 2011, mgmt needs to report an increase over the 1.2bn in revenue from Q2 2010 and Q3 2010. 1.4bn would be nice. 1.2bn would be poor. 1.3bn probably won't get people excited.

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