I would like to read everyone's opinion on this. It seems in the short term that TBT will do well. During the debt debate, treasuries should sell because of fear. When this thing is resolved, we will see stocks rise, which is usually followed by treasuries selling off. Seems like near term is a win win situation for TBT.
it depends on any statement from one of the credit rating agys as to the stability of the AAA rating. to me that is key and i think the 'risk' of a (neg for Tsy's) statement coming from the rating agys is not factored in.