My estimate is only based on technical trend. No market catalyst in sight for URE either in February. However the low interest rate and and China's controlled expansion policy provide a stable environment for business in US/World. Place an order at $4.99 and wait.
Another interesting thing to watch is when more and more message postings go to SRS, and fewer and fewer message postings stay on URE, it may be a good time to enter URE.
you are right about the message boards.......most are a day or week (or month)behind. I would look at March to being a buyer of URE though. I have my short positions. I think there will be more of a downward correction