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American Capital Agency Corp. Message Board

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  • roym717 roym717 May 21, 2011 7:00 PM Flag

    $31 plus by Div Date ? New Highs

    Hi,

    I think you guys have a valid point concerning the spo.
    I wasn't sure where to place it in my formula then I considered it as the "Reset Price".

    In other words look at historic price data vs. current price to obtain a "quantitative momentum". This will give you an approx price by dividend date and subtract the difference of the fully expected spo's approximate pricing.

    You'll notice that after every spo the price is recovering quicker than last time. Why? Not sure.
    I hope I'm making sense.
    I wasn't a business major at school.

    Bottom line expect an spo and use how fast the price recovers after the spo to give you an idea of momentum going forward and use that to gauge an approx price for the next divvy date.

    Doing this I came up with an approx price of $31.50 to $32 by divvy date.

    I appreciate any help with this, thanks!

 
AGNC
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