Every time, after the start of the 4th quarter, there's always been inquiries about the possibility of a special dividend since I've been watching AGNC and this mb.
Sometimes spec. div. questions even arose on this board in SUMMERtimes past.
Imo, if AGNC didn't have one special dividend when they were kicking butt every year, they won't have one in a year which was relatively slow for them.
If AGNC does not cut its dividend, its rise in pps may be significantly higher than normal due to other REITs cutting their dividends for this 4thQ.