Thanks for the research Luke. It is a great trade, IMO, if you do not get discouraged and quit. Those beginning in that Mar/April one bad run last year would have missed out on all the winning months.
FSC is supposed to miss on Earnings Feb 6th. I hope to be out by Feb 5th to avoid any disappointment. I hope to hit my limit sell before then...we'll see. With volatility at historical lows, we are not seeing much daily spread between the high and lows. We need that volatility to enable our limits to be hit on the flux.
I am expecting another stellar year using this trade. The absolute worse case scenario I can foresee is a 10% return matching buy and hold. Hate me if it fails but I think you will be liking it...;-)
I split the acquisition of the long shares between two timepoints. The later timepoint in the region recommended by you performed better than the early timepoint at day 3. I think day 3 outperformed day 10 one in four times. Also by covering the xd short on day 3 eliminated a bit of profit over covering around day 10. In a six months if day 3 never outperforms day 10, I will have to eliminate it.
This month day 3 beat day 10 by over a dime but we were too late with the discussion by then.
I was not aware that FSC is expected to miss. Thanks again. I will probably hedge by selling some earlier than my algo date.
I just read back through the string and I found that my results were very close to yours.circa 90%