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American Capital Agency Corp. Message Board

  • yourbestfriendintheworld yourbestfriendintheworld Jan 24, 2013 10:45 AM Flag

    OT - AGNC

    Well, that's what it feels like any more.

    We're over a month away from a div announcement, there's not likely to be a SPO any time soon. The VIX is slack and IVs are down. And Congress just pushed the debt debate out another 4 months (anyone else notice that? it was buried under all the jabber about Beyonce' being a pro instead of another sucker).

    So maybe what's needed here is a neutral play. Near month short-strangle? Sell the Feb 32 Call and 31 Put for a combined 50 cents and see what happens?

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    • Fateful journey YBF to short AGNC(by shorting naked Calls). Both Mar and June have the divi already in their premiums. As a result, I have been shorting the June Puts on weakness, getting in the recent past as much as .87 for the Jun27's(current fair, .57).

      Good luck!


    • AGNC? Here?

      Sentiment: Buy

    • This is the AGNC MB, no OT needed. Why pullback? Because it was due for a breather. Maybe undervalued; maybe not, but a pretty good rise in last couple weeks. Pullback is welcome; opportunity for new buyers to enter.

      Sentiment: Hold

    • AGNC's board is a refugee camp.
      It is a forum for friendly foreign investors to chat up and pose questions about stocks they currently own, are interested in buying, or are possibly considering selling.
      Here is largely devoid of political banter(save a thread a day or so), and nearly everyone has at least some respect for others' opinions, if not regard.

      Most of those here own, have owned, or are considering buying AGNC.
      Many of those are considering doing such, time and again, until AGNC and the REIT sector as a whole has prover itself to be no longer profitible.

      To have found this mb might possibly strike the first time visitor here the way it struck me:
      The unexpected appearence of a quaint shop while strolling around in a bad part of town.
      Just to enter the place makes one feel safe and invited.
      One finds oneself trying on things out of fancy, maybe considering buying, but checking individual fit.
      The mb regulars are like the helpful salespeople of the haberdashery, giving opinions to strangers in a friendly manner.
      Sometimes though, a hideous sweater still finds its way into one's cart, regardless of urging from others not to do so and the impulse buy of a silly hat cannot be dissuaded, no matter how hard, by the fellow opinionated shoppers around one.
      Most times, the wanderer finds themselves happy with their previously unknown quantity purchased,
      and upon leaving one immediately puts that place on one's list as a site to which to return.

      Happy Friday and have a good weekend,

    • I hear you - but we do have a quarterly coming next Monday. There may or may not be clues as to their dividend direction. I expect the Q to be 'very slightly better' than the prior quarter, with Q1 in April/May being quite a bit better than both. I owe this to the increasing spreads.

      Oh, and while collecting dividends, quiet is GOOD. Maybe grab a few monthlies over at ARR or try to bag a MITT/AGNC dividend in the interim.

      Good luck,


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