At 5X revenue (1.75bn estimated) and 308mm shares, the value is 28.40, at 4X its 22.72. The variables include the actual Revenue Ricci reports, and any premium/discount based on forward look Ricci offers. Todays range in the 20.50 area would be a 3.6 revenue multiple. Key number imho is revenue. With all the action in the last quarter anything less than 1.75 would be a shocker, substantially above would not surprise. Even a big beat won't likely get us past $22.72 without a forward guidance hike. Any miss would not be pretty to say the least. 94% big hands still requires a "grain of salt" to put much faith in the daily trading price. BTW, did they take down the recent $800mm debt arrangement, or is it in the form of a Line of Credit?
Go figure? I wish I could. Ricci has already spent .75 of the $ from the senior notes. the rest looks like it went to pay their frigging tax liabilities from all those free shares. One only hopes WP has a handle on their investment in NUANCE unlike the whooping they're taking from their billion $ investment in MBIA at $31. Here's to NUANCE bailing them out!!!! Although it's only Wednesday, I'm imbibing massively:(. Opal...cheers!