This was my post from almost two weeks ago and is very relevant for today. The calendar is what it is so why is everyone chewing fingernails, the stock may decline and may go up slightly everyday, but until one or all of these catalysts develop the stock will be rangebound, so relax errybody~ The best case scenario is more probable than the worst case scenario and that is a fact.
arna longs should expect usa commercial launch by itself to be highly successful.......i believe amongst one of greatest launches of a new drug in decades.......in usa.
that alone will drive up arna mkt cap sizably.
the euro stuff...........i have stopped factoring into why i hold arna long term long.
im gonna make profit on usa alone. euro will be icing on cake, whenever it occurs, if it occurs.
us mkt is large enough to make arna vast vast profits.
It would be an EU deal with similarities to the US deal for Belviq. It would approximately double all calculations people are desperately trying to do with belviq sales over time on royalties! Nobody knows what each country would allow to be charged. it also adds a layer of milestones likely!
Others will say that further EU deals would not happen until after EU final approval, but I think that thinking is too late for ARNA needs and assuming that way is a potential collosal investor mistake in ARNA! As soon as CHMP rules, recommends, and its in ARNA favor--its on like Donkey Kong! Becaue ARNA ain;t going to market anything in Europe by themsleves and prep time is needed to set that formidible infrastructure up!