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Avanir Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Message Board

  • chouse263 chouse263 Jul 10, 2013 7:55 AM Flag

    Buyout Negotiations, Offers and Biding Wars

    I am hearing rumblings of at least 3 big Pharma corporations that are in the midst of discussions with AVNR regarding the buyout of the company. How long AVNR can hold out from being taken over is the question. The PPS is being artificially kept below the $5 level, so that a buyout in the 2 to 3 times the current price level does not appear to be too cheap ($9 to $13). We the Long owner retail investors in AVNR know that this stock should now at this current point in time be valued at the $7 to $8 PPS level. The Big Pharma bids will be disclosed before the EU launch and before the Generic lawsuits are settled so that they can try and steal AVNR at a relatively low cost to them. Thus the reason AVNR just setup a $25 million shelf registration to purchase shares at $4.57 PPS for certain long term non-senior executive employees of AVNR so that they can also benefit from the eventual takeover/bidding wars, and deservedly so.

    Whether or not AVNR tries to put in place a poison pill to prevent these takeover bids from happening in the $10 range remains to be seen so that they can remain autonomous, or partner in the EU so that they can get the stock price up to where it deserves to be, we will just have to wait and see. Either way, we will be hearing something along these fronts and before the Generics are out of the picture. Otherwise, it will cost big Pharma a lot more afterwards probably in the $13 to $18 range. So my advise to you is to not get spooked out of your shares by the Shorts tricks because we will see another bear raid or two before the inevitable bidding wars begin. Stay Long and Strong and endure the course as you will be rewarded handsomely within a relatively short period of time! Peace!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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