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Avanir Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Message Board

  • placesontherun37 placesontherun37 Oct 31, 2013 1:43 PM Flag

    PACER...nothing new on the court docket today thus far...settlement thoughts..

    Added a bunch more shares this a.m....just letting the selling wash out...certainly no fun the last 4 days, but it is what it is...Since the post trial reply briefs on the case are due on 11/15, by my reasoning, a decision from Judge Stark could come at any point in time after that date, technically...While I am sure he will take a few weeks to rule, from the perspective of settlement, the pressure to settle really moves up with each passing date beyond 11/15/13...this is why I am banking that there will a deal between now and November 15th...that's just two weeks' time...after settlement, the risk reward ratio for short sellers will not be that good in AVNR..there are many other plays where they can make much more money with less risk than AVNR will be, post settlement...

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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    • Places, thanks for your consistency in prviding updates and astute commentary. It occurred to me that Par and Impax are now between the rock and a hard place. Whether they settle with KK or wait for judge Stark's decision, they will get an infitismal fragment of their original goal. KK isn't likely to even throw them a bone in settlement. With his announcement of no more indications for "N" they are left to wait until 2026 for a small share of the PBA market. Left with that choice they may just wait for the judgement. Anything I am missing?

      Sentiment: Hold

    • "post trial reply briefs on the case are due on 11/15, by my reasoning, a decision from Judge Stark could come at any point in time after that date, technically...While I am sure he will take a few weeks to rule, from the perspective of settlement, the pressure to settle really moves up with each passing date beyond 11/15/13...this is why I am banking that there will a deal between now and November 15th...that's just two weeks' time...after settlement, the risk reward ratio for short sellers will not be that good in AVNR..there are many other plays where they can make much more money with less risk than AVNR will be, post settlement... "

      WORTH REPEATING!

      Sentiment: Strong Buy

    • Thanks Place, and congrats on picking up some shares today!

      Sentiment: Strong Buy

 
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