There are random events that can occur on the plus and minus ledger - fundamental and otherwise. You don't know when either type will happen. But you can control risk when storm flags appear by going to port. I use a timing method that must have been around in the bucket shop days 100 years ago - seems like about two-thirds of negative events happen after weekly upcycles are complete and that is the case for Celldex right now.
I new enough to buy CTIC at .30 and sell at 1.96. I knew enpough to buy Avant at .50 before the reverse split and double my money. I also know how to have patience and not worry about a low volume sell off.
do a 5 year chart on CLDX and you will see it runs post ASH meeting in December w/ a runup to ASH. We are post ASCO now so expect some softness in p but we have CRGN to absorb and that is the best deal this company has ever made if it gets consumated!
I respect your opinion: you called for $8/share a week or so before it traded 2mm shares around that number, after gapping 10% to get there.
I think we are more interested in what you think, if you please.
I mainly use timing tools, and there is not a low risk weekly entry point for about 1 month, although possible low in two weeks. The market risk here is very strong. Strong news required to offset the trend, imo.