With so much Natural gas available, there should be no real seasonal impact on price. Because price rises with lower temperatures in the east coast, I suspect supply-demand is not a significant factor in price variations.
Track bankruptcies and oil/gas well closures. When the poor companies and the expensive wells close the turn around will be at hand. Meanwhile the smart- money will quietly buy-up the remaining companies for the eventual return to a balanced market. Which companies will survive? The ones which don't makeup losses by increasing volum, the smaller ones which did not hedge low prices and the salary factories. What about the future contracts f or delivery in the future at present bargain prices? They go up in smoke as bankruptcy takes its terrible toll. I suspect a few unhedged insurance companies will take a beating in the process.
If you want to calculate how fast price will return, consider that yesterday, 40% of the float was short. With today's bump, there is still 39% of the float still short. As we approach earnings, I suspect the rest will try to cover at once causing a stampede and considerable price jump.
Short sellers have been attacking cybr since September. The choppy price line indicates weak holders leaving as smart holders take advantage of the shorts-attack. Banks still love cybr. I'm buying on the price slumps as after next earnings report, price will jump, perhaps double as shorters try to cover. Let's enjoy our unique opportunities as we can.