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Verizon Communications Inc. Message Board

bellbell63 308 posts  |  Last Activity: 6 hours ago Member since: Apr 25, 1999
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  • Reply to


    by pissedoffretiree Jul 21, 2016 3:36 PM
    bellbell63 bellbell63 6 hours ago Flag

    where XXX = stock symbol

  • bellbell63 by bellbell63 Jul 20, 2016 2:56 PM Flag

    In the past month PD and Pt have risen over $100/oz. During that same month PLG hit 3.98 and but has come down 25% to 3.05 despite reporting a first time profitable qtr. IF PMs slip could be painful here. I will start to nibble under 3.00, GL

  • bellbell63 by bellbell63 Jul 19, 2016 4:09 PM Flag


  • bellbell63 by bellbell63 Jul 17, 2016 12:01 AM Flag

    MB test

  • Reply to

    The stock is up 335% in 5 months

    by supremely13 Jul 11, 2016 2:33 PM
    bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 11, 2016 6:36 PM Flag

    As I see the tea leaves there is good support in the 2.75 - 3.10 area. Will start to nibble there. Earnings report due around the 20th. Hopefully there will hard data about increased TPD and better head grade reported not the usual miner blah,blah,blah about "progress". GL

  • Reply to

    Hey Bigsee

    by martucci_jim Jul 11, 2016 10:00 AM
    bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 11, 2016 3:53 PM Flag

    Covered at avg 13.08. Will pay for a couple of NLH buy-ins at Foxwood Thursday. :-)

  • Reply to

    Hey Bigsee

    by martucci_jim Jul 11, 2016 10:00 AM
    bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 11, 2016 10:58 AM Flag

    Short 3K at 13.18 for the day. :-)

  • Reply to

    2 new articles on AMNF in last week

    by morokko65 Jul 9, 2016 8:38 PM
    bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 10, 2016 12:56 PM Flag

    .15 -.16 seems a bit of a stretch. You would need qtr of

    .034 (q1 act)
    .037 (q2 est)
    .040 (q3 est)
    .043 (q4 est)
    .154 for 2016

    Considering that 2015 was .126 that would be YOY of 22%. AMNF just not growing that fast.
    Giving them IMO a generous 15% YOY that would be .145 I would be happy with .14 and a P/E of 18
    would get AMNF to 2.50 or so by Y/E.

    Q2 results likely out Thurs 14th after 11Pm ET. I would be happy with .0365.

    As for a buyout- that is not out of the question. Mgt has shown itself to be tax aware - remember the spec div paid on the last day of the year (2014?) when there was a good chance the low tax rate on div might expire?
    Well there is a good chance that cap gains rates may go up so they may decide to take the money and run. But I wouldn't expect that to happen for a least a year. Small cap M&A activity in the food industry has been in the niche area - organic, natural, artisanal etc. Unable to find any comps so as to get a feel for premiums.

  • bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 8, 2016 4:29 PM Flag

    The question is not whether Musk/TSLA is late to the party it is a question of whether PE will be a supplier of beer to the party. The big guys ALB, SQM , SMC ,Talison are all gearing up to fill the Li supply chain.

    Read the Nov 16 2015 PR. Lays out what they expect to have by the end 2016.

    Description of analytical methods and laboratory procedures

    Description of the mini-pilot tests and operating conditions

    Results of the mini-pilot tests with analytical data on efficacy and efficiency of lithium recovery

    Recommendations for the continuous pilot stage and additional engineering studies
    Initial recommendations for industrial scale, including preliminary flowsheets

    Scale-up data, including preliminary estimates of capital and operating costs at industrial scale

    So at the end of 2016 they (if all goes on schedule) will hopefully have the last two most critical plans. Once these are in hand, what is the chance they can finance, permit, build , commission and tune the plant in 2 years? IMO pretty small. So that's why I am projecting no Li until late 2019. If they don't meet these plan milestones by YE 2016 things really get ugly. I will not invest until I see those documents.

  • Reply to

    Is this metrics correct...?

    by garp_seeker Jul 5, 2016 11:03 AM
    bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 8, 2016 4:16 PM Flag

    Yes, I sell easy because I am in no rush and heavy selling would depress stock. Counter-intuitively a large offer can sometimes attract a buyer. If you were looking to buy 5000 #$%$ 2.24 which of the quotes would you rather see?

    - 2.23/200 x 2.24/100 or
    - 2.23/200 x 2.24x5000 or
    or just put in a buy 5000 limit 2.24 (maybe with a min qty)

    Today was an example, the offer of 10K at 2,24 (I think) did not scare anyone away. It looks like it enticed some buyers.

    I have definitely gotten the sell price I wanted by dangling an offer out there hoping a buyer is lurking waiting for some liquidity. If not filled after an hour or so, I cancel.

    Earnings due in about a week.

  • Reply to

    US auto sales

    by bellbell63 Jul 8, 2016 1:56 PM
    bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 8, 2016 3:32 PM Flag

    As I read it, it was YTD and YE projections that are weak, not just June. Guess will just have to wait it out. And yes, nice gains in Pd and SWC.

  • bellbell63 by bellbell63 Jul 8, 2016 1:56 PM Flag
    D C

    Also see the "R%elated Stories" in the sidebar

  • bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 8, 2016 1:53 PM Flag

    Great for Li producers who can deliver.

    D C

    “The current strategy seems to be no direct investment but leveraging the Tesla name by signing ‘contingent’ contracts at unachievably low prices with junior mining companies who have never produced lithium chemicals,” says Joe Lowry, a market expert and founder of Global Lithium, a consultancy."

    The wish-ware contract is what spiked HMGLF.

  • Reply to

    Is this metrics correct...?

    by garp_seeker Jul 5, 2016 11:03 AM
    bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 8, 2016 1:41 PM Flag

    Early today when the quote was 2.19/1000 2.20/100 it looks like someone placed Buy 1000 @ MKT and ended up paying 2.25 for 900 of it.

    I am not the biggest stockholder by far but with 120K shares I could keep or push it down. I am a seller because AMNF too much of my portfolio so am gently lightening up. Have sold about 14K over the past 2 months. I use limit orders and let the stock come to me - if I wanted to sell some today I might put in an order to sell 2500 @ 2.26 Because of limited number of MMs my order doesn't show even on L2 so no one scared away.

    I have heard no rumors of any large stockholder selling.

  • bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 8, 2016 11:48 AM Flag

    Looks like the big boats have set sail and PE still waiting for plans from the shipbuilder.

  • Reply to

    Is this metrics correct...?

    by garp_seeker Jul 5, 2016 11:03 AM
    bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 8, 2016 8:54 AM Flag

    Whenever a stock does not behave the way an individual thinks it should they look to all sorts of reasons:
    - market makers
    - shorts
    - "they"
    - manipulators
    - too many sunspots
    - not enough sunspots
    - conspiracies

    They never think that maybe their "analysis" is off. The stock according to Garp should be higher. Yet he is paranoid about buying until he "figures out what is going on". Where have I heard that phrase before? Your suggestion about 2 year re-look is a good one. I have been in since Nov 2009 (at .44) and average price is 1.32. I have been slowly selling because AMNF has grown beyond my comfort range as to % of portfolio.

    There has been a question about what I mean about "oxen". Those are people who say a stock is good, praise it , tout it etc but don't buy it. They are oxen - bulls without balls.

  • Reply to


    by commoditymarketstrader Jun 16, 2016 3:21 PM
    bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 7, 2016 5:20 PM Flag

    People give TD because you are not 150% bullish like they are. They never explain why. Don't worry about them.

  • Reply to


    by commoditymarketstrader Jun 16, 2016 3:21 PM
    bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 7, 2016 5:16 PM Flag

    I don't know if it is a fraud, but like any junior e/d miner their principal product is stock and reserve reports. Expect 2-3 major financings before processing plant is spec'ed, planned, built, tuned and producing. With no news on the processing plant, I am pushing out my estimate for "first" Li to 2019.
    If you think that is crazy consider it could take a couple of years just to get EPA reports and permits to pump and dispose of tailings. And without detailed plant specs they will be hard pressed to come up with numbers for the needed permits etc. IMO there is a 50/50 chance they may never produce Li.
    Mining is a brutal business to begin with and TSLA/EV are attracting Li e/d like flies to a steer. Li is a worldwide commodity, - lowest delivered price wins - no matter where or how produced.

  • bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 7, 2016 3:31 PM Flag

    Where? By down the road do you mean ABL? That make no sense for several reasons:
    - ABL process uses 50% evaporated brine, not “as pumped” brine that PE would supply.
    - If ABL had extra capacity in the ponds they have an unlimited amount of brine they can pump – why take PE brine
    - How would you transport it? Pipeline? Permits and EPA studies? Who builds and pays for it?
    - Majority of cost is in the processing so very little left for PE on a toll basis.

    PE whole pitch was that their process was cheaper and produced higher quality Li. So you are just going to forget all that? All PE would be a pumper of brine – not an exciting business. PE would just be a very small fish in a very large very salty pond.

    And FYI there are several other junior Li with substantial claims in the same region. TSLA is attracting Li junior venture like flies. PE claim is totally surrounded by others
    GOOGLE Clayton Valley Li

  • Reply to


    by tikas2709 Jul 7, 2016 11:03 AM
    bellbell63 bellbell63 Jul 7, 2016 11:14 AM Flag

    I don't think was pump and dump just overenthusiasm by exuberant buyers with unrealistic short term expectations.

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