retail sales have been weak for several years, when compared to the 80's and 90's.
Retail is weak, not dead. Back to School and Christmas will boost sales a little.
The economy is weak, not dead.
Stocks are at new highs, not from growth, rather a lack of investing options due to ultra low rates.
Yes, the bears will be right someday - but not until rates rise back to the long term normal.
When you a young man, rates hit 15%. 15% was a historic high, not a normal.
Today rates ultra low, far below the norm of 3% or 5%.
Yes, a terrible bear market will come - Doubtful it happens in our lifetime.
Forecasting is fun.
When a forecast is made, a lot be learned about the forecaster and nothing about the future.
Forecasting is an educated guess. Some have been guessing wrong for a long time.
Bears have valid reasons for stocks to move lower.
Fighting the Fed is seldom profitable.
Only a few will time and execute the next bear market correctly.
Most will be holding worthless ETFs purchased way too early.
Its Friday. no crash, no bear market, no banking crises.
Malls are filled with back to school shopping, the economy keeps chugging along.
Like a broken clock, Perma-bears are seldom right.
delta's position is still profitable if you don't include the Reverse Split. Delta is a genius.
Sadly delta has ceased his top calls until his internet connection is restored.
if TLT is going to 150 - 160.............no more TOP CALLs and you sold UVXY ?
Do you now believe, in the power of the printing press ?
"Avg IQ of a dem is around 91.
Avg IQ of a rep is 115."
Avg IQ of delta is under 45
Source? Buzz library of wisdom : )
Even delta has temporarily ceased calls for a big drop, the top is in, and other garbage.
So sad, even those with limited intelligence could not foresee the printing would continue.
The end game will come, it will be spectacular. Guess the time, not so easy.
Even guessing the events that will preclude the End Game, is difficult, but not impossible.
best of luck.
Italian banks on the verge of collapse.
Deutsche Bank stock price down 90% since 2009.
No worries, another bailout will come.
Print a few trillion euros, is fiat, its free.
Only the few that have savings in paper money will be hurt, as the value of money is destroyed over time.
As for banks, pls do not worry - Another bailout is coming.
Actually, many bailouts are coming.
Bankers to save the world. God Bless the Banksters. Not really.
QE forever - what a concept
There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion.
The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as a result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion. Or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved.
Those in power do not want to admit a mistake.
Still too early to call a top.
The USA will probably institute Neg Rates.
Neg Rates will keep the stock market alive for a few more years.
The experiment of ultra low rates is not going to end anytime soon. The next President will allow Wall Street and the Fed to continue with what can not be stopped.
A powerful wave of deflation will come, as assets are sold in desperation.
Currency Wars will come.
The EU will collapse after Greece and Italy abandon the Union.
This will all take time. Maybe a lot of time.
Crude should drop back to $20 or lower.
Deflation will be followed by inflation.
Worthless paper money will become even more worthless.
Japan has twice the debt to GDP as the USA.
Still a lot of room to keep printing for years......
Italy, Greece, latin america will go down, long before the top 5 nations.
Plenty of warning before bears will be right.
A little 3% correction would be fun. Perma Bears are so predictable.
A 3% correction, get shorts back in the game, then force bears to cover.
wash - rinse - repeat............works everytime. Jewish bankers are very smart.
Shiller - tech make a few very wealthy, but everyone benefits.
The industrial revolution of the 1800's made a few men wealthy, but everyone benefits -, trickle down.
Some commodities seemed to have bottomed.
Oil is up from $25 to $40.
Grains have not bounced.
Aluminum and Copper near all time lows.
Yes a fall in commodites normal indicates a slow down in manufacturing.
Housing continues to improve, thanx to low rates.
When will the bear market arrive ?
Not until the money markets have run dry, and the last investor has purchased.
Not until the manipulation ends. Take your pick.
Guts, you are right, stocks are expensive. But nowhere near mania levels, not close.
Bonds are also expensive, near or above par.
Speaking of uvxy - someone was recommending this at $11 and again $6.66.
UVXY is one etf, guaranteed to go to zero, as stated in the prospectus. Time decay.
Timing is impossible, on a daily basis.
Timing can be used on a cyclic basis.
A normal bear will arrive someday.......Morons like Harry Dent will say they predicted it.
For now, the Fed and central banks, will keep the party going.
Isnt it time for uvxy to do a reverse split soon ?
New highs for the markets, who woulda thunk it.
Is the Top in ?
hurry up, time for a new and improved top call.