not all the polls
only the one's that dooing it as a favor for Obama perhaps?
Trump wins 55% to 45% IMO.... may be greater margin, depend on any attacks on the homeland, and how far Barak Hussein Obama infuriates the US public, by protecting Islam more than US citizens, and laying all the the feet of gun control... while in Belgium and France the Islamic terrorist had no difficulty obtaining any weapon they wanted, despite the strictest gun controls int he world...... interesting isn't it, Obama defecting blame to something else that has almost nothing to do the central issue.
The US citizens know this and wont be fooled.....
is on the table, and will be catastrophic for EU and will have contagion.
If it will cause EU break up, expect TVIX in the 30-50s
any one shorting TVIX is this economic environment before the election is playing with fire, and probably will be caught off foot.
If Tump wins, more likely now they as its clear the director of the FBI was less than truthful about Clinton, and people do not like to be hood winked, TVIX will rise 4-7X, and may be more in 2017
Seventeen percent of bank loans in Italy are bad, according to a Monday report in the Wall Street Journal. That figure, which comes out to a combined 360 billion euros ($401 billion) in bad debt, is more than 3 X the bank loans that were bad in the U.S. on a percentage basis at the height of the financial crisis.
this wont to be too good for the S&P.....resting Volatility back around 20+
JPMorgan’s quant master Marco Kolanovic looks at the stock Brexit crash and rebound and sees similarities with the August 2015 version. In a June 30 report emailed to clients and reviewed by ValueWalk, he says the Brexit vote was “largely a repeat of August ’15” and warns of risks ahead.
EU without UK, is lingering on 1 piston (Germany), France is just a big mouth, and rest EU is poor, but make up for it in arrogrance
that is coming very soon.
The stronger Northern EU countries cant afford to pay for the weak southern EU countries, and with UK gone, less money
IMO Finland, Sweden, Denmark next exit, also these lands are been over run by immigrants and as a result the locals are becoming more right wing and nationilistic..
TVIX gonna jump 2.8 -3.3 very soon
Jim Rogers, chairman of Rogers Holdings.
“This is going to be worse than any bear market you’ve seen in your lifetime,” he said on Yahoo Finance’s “Market Movers” program Monday. “2008 was bad because of debt. The debt all over the world is much, much higher now. Stocks in the US, for instance, have been going sideways for 18 months to 24 months. That’s called a distribution by many people. When you have distribution for a year and a half, it usually leads to bad things.”
very unlikely market will rebound at this stage.
UK has 70% chance of recession and US 35% chance
if rest of EU exits, expect big volatility !!