Recent

% | $
Quotes you view appear here for quick access.

iShares Mortgage Real Estate Capped Message Board

h5n1eric 49 posts  |  Last Activity: Jun 29, 2016 1:15 PM Member since: Jan 15, 2009
SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Highest Rated Expand all messages
  • Reply to

    Value Trap

    by tocmurray May 5, 2016 2:07 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric May 5, 2016 4:45 PM Flag

    got some around 38 to start a small position - to cost avg on further 5% drops...I'm probably early, but I do like the valuations...Chart guys say 32-36 area? tea leaves?...Oh, i'm sure it could go lower...but I like WDC down here...I'm not as positive on STX...too much debt and payout ratio over 100%...And who knows - maybe INTC would go after them...but I hear INTC might just wanna go after the "cloud centers" vs. hardware...GL

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    It's going to get very ugly folks

    by pinky76123 May 4, 2016 2:44 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric May 5, 2016 4:40 PM Flag

    it's going to get ugly?...going to?...well, down 25% in 2 days on high volume...Oh, I did get some today at 9.10...better than $12.10 a couple days ago ....just gimmie a dead cat bounce...or maybe I'll just cost avg it down & hold it?...I like their stores here, where I live / good traffic...and summer's coming...but sure, a nice "dead cat" bounce by Monday would be cute. GL

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    well...grabbed some at 12.10...

    by h5n1eric May 5, 2016 10:55 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric May 5, 2016 12:25 PM Flag

    Some other stock ideas ....I'd gotten some RRTS back in Dec-Jan....later, was up 80%+ on the shares...sold em'...Now it's all the way back down...trucking companies have seen declining revenues...sooo...I like to buy low and cost avg during 'bad' times...Anyway, I saw that it went to $7...but I was napping !!...then up to $7.70?...put in an order for 7.20..filled...just a small initial position to cost avg...ARCB is another one in that sector...great company....And....watch WDC...I'd begin to grab a d around $38...excellent company ina declining sector...but I like the valuations / low debt / dividend...much better than STX

  • my cost avg is at 13.19...not too bad...and this morning? "it was the worst of times...it was the best of times" (Dickens?)...So, would have been nice to get that $12 low price...but 12.10 was ok...I put in an order around $12 for more, just in case...I think the BV rose a bit...$11.94 now? So, mgmt. should probably be buying more back, down here, I'd imagine...GL

  • Reply to

    Adding RHI

    by jorgensen.brian Apr 28, 2016 12:07 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric May 3, 2016 5:51 PM Flag

    I got some a few days ago...I didn't think their quarter was all that bad...So, I got some ...I'm up on the shares...And I did get a small tad of WDC today...Nice dividend / sustainable / low debt...People don't like the outlook of that sector, but it's had a nice beatdown (and "the cloud" ain't going away)...and much better than rival STX. Oh, and got a tad of ARCB today, on the drop...One of my old favorites, that has also been beaten down....I just buy small initial positions on things I like...and cost avg on 5-10% further pullbacks...I keep it small...and currently have 50% in cash. (& HRTG is 'interesting'...but soze the Black Death...sooo, but it's got great valuations...CEO is very greedy tho)

  • i.e. get Obama to the finish line...get Hillery elected...and then the fed can raise rates...things can correct...markets can fall...but 'what's done is done', election-wise

    "...There’s nothing unusual in itself about the president meeting with the Chair of the Federal Reserve over lunch to discuss policy. Bush 43, for example, frequently met with Alan Greenspan to discuss the economy.

    But this meeting is different…

    This isn’t a casual lunch. It’s a high-profile, last-minute meeting Obama orchestrated. The last time something like this happened was in 1951, when Harry Truman summoned the entire Federal Reserve Board of Governors to the White House. Since this is something that hasn’t happened in almost 70 years, today’s meeting is a fairly extraordinary event.

    Why did Obama order the meeting? There are a few factors to consider…

    Number one, Obama does not want the Fed to raise rates. If the Fed remains on its path of interest rate hikes this year, it would give the Republicans the strongest chance at the White House in this fall’s election. That’s because rate hikes would likely lead to recession, and that would bode poorly for the Democrats.

    Obama is deeply concerned about his legacy, which the Republicans would like to reverse. So the best chance the Democrats have in the upcoming presidential election is if rates stay low. Janet Yellen herself is a Democrat, with a background as a labor economist and a career at U.C. Berkeley. She’s not necessarily hostile to Obama’s message.

    By bringing her to the White House, Obama is sending Yellen a highly visible public message. Don’t raise
    rates. You can consider this meeting more like an implied threat. "

  • Reply to

    yep...Mr Cash...is back...Saturday

    by h5n1eric Apr 30, 2016 11:24 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Apr 30, 2016 11:45 AM Flag

    ok...ok...I'll give you a hint on my plans with HRTG...I'd probably sell back some shares around $16, that I recently bought in the high $12 area...call em' trading shares...Frankly, HRTG had no %#@& business going below 16...but it did...easy for shorts to push it around...low volume...unfollowed pretty much...So, maybe the shorts will have to unwind now. But yeah...$16 seems fair...but I'd hold some shares still...wouldn't sell it all - besides, the #$%$ CEO has a 5 yr vesting period on his "stock gifts"...so, if he likes money...and we all know his world revolves around it...then it's in his interest to push em' back up, at some point...Now, I'll leave you 'guys" alone...sprinkling outside...put out the orchids and anthurium, etc etc...fed all the birds...now go watch golf maybe...Still fretting about having to go to Texas soon...parents need some help...90 & 94...geeeez...I wish they lived closer.

  • Reply to

    yep...Mr Cash...is back...Saturday

    by h5n1eric Apr 30, 2016 11:24 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Apr 30, 2016 11:31 AM Flag

    gosh....I should have added that, right now, I have not "skimmed off" any HRTG shares...and it's my biggest % holding ...and since it's at it's lows already...basically... (hahaha), well, I'm not planiing on selling shares (right now)...I think it has more to run...got way oversold...good valuations...cash flows.....super low p/e....lousy CEO...all the wonderful ingredients...Well, mostly all...... (so the "above" post was not to suggest dumping HRTG...At least wait until I do...then I'll give you the green light...It's the least I can do...like any politician would do...looking out for you !!) : 0

  • Read a ZACKS article ..."Sell in May? Absolutely!"...you can look it up. Let's just say that I sleep a bit better at night, with more in cash right now (APPROX 50%)...But I'm not timing the markets. I've seen some great hedge fund mgrs., since 2013, calling for a crash or a recession....They were probably correct, but the FED has always stepped in with QE and low rates...so, you just can't predict anything, anymore...with the FED massively involved...Reminds me of a mini-Weimar 1921-23 market, which rose , during a recession, on nothing more than excessive liquidity...
    Anyway, my "PLAN" is to add more to cash over time, if the markets continue to rise...2100?2150? who knows?...but I do hope to have maybe 75-80% sometime in the future (before xmas)...skim off cash from stocks as best I can...And like I always say..."macros trump micros"...i.e. even the best of companies get killed in a (big) market correction...and that's when I hunt for cheap GEMS / that's when CASH IS KING..........But I'll even be skimming off stocks I do like, as I know even the best of companies / stocks get hit...I saw the AAPL chart...or any other chart for that matter,... back in FEB, with that mini-pullback....Everything got pulled down...I think AAPL went to $82...and that was before this latest bad news on their earnings....So remember, even stocks that look solid, like Google or Facebook or AAPL can also be pulled down.

    GL

  • Reply to

    to 'green_bar' (others would be bored)

    by h5n1eric Apr 29, 2016 10:41 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Apr 29, 2016 7:30 PM Flag

    Well, they've generally beat their earning's targets...and let's hope they beat on revenues...I'd think they'd better have a good showing, after all the money the CEO has raked in...
    I WAS SO BORED - ...I actually got a very small position in AAPL...Hey, I suppose it can go to the $80's (?)...but I just wanted to watch it on the screen...I think everyone's thrown the sink at it...even ICAHN, on TV...Soooo, a "fun" play...they have gobs of cash...Maybe they'll just become another MSFT, going from a high growth company to more of a cash flow, dividend stock...valuations are fine. But mostly "cash" for me. Those "pharms" got killed...I was lucky to have sold off major portions, but the stuff remaining got killed...hahaha...CAN THEY GO LOWER?...gosh...but I'll hold what I have.
    (I used to like a company ...ARCB...well, they had an 8% hit...went negative on earnings...but I've loved that one in the past...if it continues to go down, I'd be interested in starting a position...). And I still think RHI looks quite decent...ok valuations and a divvy, after they got pounded for 12.5% drop a couple days ago...their report looked very decent...sooo...?). But mostly, I like the cash I hold...it's hard to be patient !

  • Reply to

    to 'green_bar' (others would be bored)

    by h5n1eric Apr 29, 2016 10:41 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Apr 29, 2016 10:57 AM Flag

    oh...and sold LCI...most of it,... this morning, when it was 'unchanged'...I had a good 17% profit...I like it, long term, but as I said, I've sadly become what EL ERIAN suggested...a "trader"...volatile roller coaster market...range-bound...WITH LOTS OF 'LAND MINES' DAILY...So, I went to check 15 minutes later...and LCI was getting killed, suddenly...just crazy stuff...So, was nice to jump out of it...save the CASH

  • preface...umm...others can put me on 'ignore'...not being nasty, but I'm not talking all that much about HRTG, so would be boring and probably not what others wanna read. have a good day...now, to biz
    Saw that STX crashed...I'd sold that off many days ago...oh 3-4 days ago...I always felt that one could/should go to $20 to even be close to the valuations of WDC (down 10% as well), which is a much better 'relative' play / ...but even WDC needed to go to the $30's for me to get interested...unless INTC wants to grab it...good fit, but INTC probably desires data centers vs the hardware companies....zzz /// Sold off more STOCKS...OR SHAVED THEM...ONES LIKE hznp / prgo / endp...xrx...ahhhh...Basically, I have a trip to Texas coming up, and I just desired to move to a lot more cash...just have it sit there until I can devote more time to "stocks"...and anyway, I don't see any great boom coming to the stock market....Hopefully, I can get a very nice summer correction...10% or more. Id rather rest up and just wait for this FED induced, overpriced asset bubble to come back to saner valuations...52% cash right now...biggest holding is HRTG...That's how contrarian I am...the most hated one....hahaha...later

  • Reply to

    green_bar....grrrrrrrrrrr

    by h5n1eric Apr 26, 2016 10:37 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Apr 28, 2016 5:11 PM Flag

    I think you may be my cousin !! I do...I mean, we are thinking alike (wouldn't put it past him)...i.e. I've looked at CRR a few times over the past week...but I think it isn't even earning a profit...and I don't think the forward p/e was good...so, I know I passed on that one.
    I thought it might me decent if drilling came back, but seems like it's not having a lifting effect on the stock...I used to own NOV...but sold it for a profit...shoulda' kept it...but...but...if the markets get another PLUNGE...and the tide goes out...a lot of gems will appear on the beach !

  • Reply to

    green_bar....grrrrrrrrrrr

    by h5n1eric Apr 26, 2016 10:37 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Apr 28, 2016 5:04 PM Flag

    is this clint eastwood? Monterey?

  • Reply to

    green_bar....grrrrrrrrrrr

    by h5n1eric Apr 26, 2016 10:37 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Apr 28, 2016 5:01 PM Flag

    I ACTUALLY opted to sell some off,... of the PRGO / ENDP today...You're right...I just see no great buys out there...If I can't find decent gems, I should just stick to CASH !!... But I do get the bug to play stocks short term...probably need to stop that and settle for the cash...and accept my views on the market (overpriced) & EL ERIAN's comments....gotta be patient...Jesus...you live 500 miles North of me...hmmm...You'd better not be my cousin playing around with me...he lives in SF...I was born in ALAMEDA...But I'm not allowed to go back to SF, as I have HAIR ON MY CHEST / USE A MALE BATHROOM ONLY...AND REFUSE TO WEAR A TUTU or RIDE NEKKED IN A BIKE PARADE...I HATE SANCTUARY CITIES !...BUT MY FAVORITE PLACE IS LAKE TAHOE...INCLINE VILLAGE. We can meet there and look at the cocktail waitresses?

  • Reply to

    Compensation

    by miskeen732 Apr 28, 2016 4:30 PM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Apr 28, 2016 4:54 PM Flag

    hey, I'm trying!...i.e. emailed MAD MONEY / CRAMER...and asked if they'd bring back the WALL OF SHAME, for the worst CEO's...Maybe I'll get lucky and he'll decide to go back to that . Ummm, well, with the stories out there about his greed, maybe it'll put a lil' pressure on him...to at least raise the dividend...I was happy to see that he has a 5yr vesting period on his shares...so, at some point, he may desire to actually try to support the stock price...we'll wait 5 years, right?

  • Reply to

    EVA...upgrade

    by h5n1eric Apr 28, 2016 11:55 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Apr 28, 2016 2:54 PM Flag

    Certainly "immoral"...but nice work if you can get it...Reminds me of the old CEO of JetBlue...Those guys were really milking the company of money...and when they had their fill...and the stock dropped from $60 to $5...he got out of town...went to Brasil...formed AZUL...and probably doing the same "legal scam", selling his shares/options...So, yeah, that's probably the sole reason that HRTG has gone almost back to it's IPO price, as more investors 'got a clue' as to who the company is being run for...You'd hope that Mutual Funds / Pension Funds would bang on them....or maybe some larger insurer would come in and buy up their portfolio...but this is the current landscape.
    As for stocks in general, I saw EL ERIAN this morning....wow...he sorta said what I've found myself doing...more trading / less investing...within this 1850-2050 range...and he called for a probable 10% pullback soon...and said cash was probably the best protection....So, was at least nice to hear someone confirm my recent actions...right? wrong?...Oh, I will say that I may tell you I grabbed xyz stock...but I may not own it in a week...I take profits when I can...je way it is....I plan on selling 4 stocks tomorrow...and even decided to sell tads of my PRGO / ENDP...Just had a change of heart - what it really is, is that I like CASH a bit more than owning an stock, mostly...40% Cash

  • h5n1eric by h5n1eric Apr 28, 2016 11:55 AM Flag

    "On April 28, 2016 EVA Dimensions, LLC upgraded HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC ( HRTG ) from OVERWEIGHT to BUY.".....generally means diddly, but at least someone's lookin' at it...I did my buys at 12.80 this morning...just cost averaging...zzzz...gonna give it a rest now.....later.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    green_bar....grrrrrrrrrrr

    by h5n1eric Apr 26, 2016 10:37 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Apr 28, 2016 10:23 AM Flag

    ps...I'm so embarrassed to even say it...but I saw HRTG at 12.80...yep...like a moth to a flame...I'm gonna cut my fingers off !! but I got some (more)...have a nice cost avg...all I need is a 5% 'up-day'...back to even....hahaha...
    "don't buy,don't buy"...as Cramer would say....

  • Reply to

    green_bar....grrrrrrrrrrr

    by h5n1eric Apr 26, 2016 10:37 AM
    h5n1eric h5n1eric Apr 28, 2016 10:20 AM Flag

    oh...GAP (GPS)...yeah...bought and sold...think I lost a tad...SEDG?...Never touch solar...don't get me wrong - I love the sun...also love CO2 for that matter...it's a great molecule...so hated by the Left...hahaha...But the Cambrium period was a great growth time...plethora of species...I wouldn't mind CO2 levels going a lot higher...and if it warms things up...fine...I like bikinis at the beach...or not, if you go to Black's beach (when I had a body to die for....hahaha...now?...ahhh...I'd die for a new body)

REM
10.52+0.060(+0.57%)Jul 22 4:00 PMEDT