If my numbers are right, you are saying that meas you believe these statistics are reliable only 31.46% of the time. You are probably correct but your level of accuracy is only 31.46% correct.
I see some good points in your post. I, for one, like the stock and make a good % return by selling covered calls. For example, when it hits 100+ look to sell 110's about 3 months out for an annualized yield of about 20%.
What % of Disney earnings come from theme parks? Between high prices, preferences among young people for virtual adventure, crowds and long lines, and now, wildlife out of control, I think the future of these theme parks is limited.
Looks like typical market over reaction. A good entry point? Or, wait and see how BREXIT and election influence the market in general?
Looking at the market in general with the "Presidential" election and BREXIT on the horizon. I would say a new entry point might be 38 to 38.50. All else being equal, which would be unusual in itself.
I am willing to sell you my sure fire method of making tons of money in the market. Only send me a major credit card number and I will share with you my method involving throwing a dart at the WSJ. This will out perform any of the SPAM recommended market reports.
I am formerly a MF subscriber. I found their recommendations very much hit or miss. I can site as many of each as you would care to hear. Their philosophy of buy and hold is fine if you don;t count on your investments for part of your living.
Please correct me if I am wrong. I believe SDRL is an off shore drilling operation, not a container shipping company. What does SDRL have to do with SSW?
Look at 1 year chart with B-bands. What "usually" happens when it crosses the upper line? Just my opinion but I would buy under 40.
There is certainly no guarantee on the 11% while the 9.5 is a serious obligation. Also, consider the yield from dividend at current levels with the stock at 20.