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ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES (Bermuda) LTD. Message Board

jayand777 170 posts  |  Last Activity: 9 hours ago Member since: Aug 31, 2005
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  • Reply to

    Management meeting

    by caffeine444444 10 hours ago
    jayand777 jayand777 9 hours ago Flag

    Caff, this is EXACTLY why we need a new management team. It's THEIR RESPONSIBILITY to inform all shareholders the "great things" going on at the company, not a select few. There is something called Reg FD that mandates that. Can anyone remenber the last great news thay announced, because I can't. I remember several delays, a few meaningless 8150 share buybacks and a whole lot of revenue targets that were missed, but i cannot recall any great news.

    So, SJ/SK, why don't you go ahead and announce an earnings date and finally share some "great news" with ALL of us and quit skirting SEC rules about priveleged information???

  • Reply to

    Off topic: EXAS

    by davegras Jul 26, 2016 11:14 AM
    jayand777 jayand777 Jul 27, 2016 7:57 PM Flag

    Another year? After this debacle? I can live with that. I refuse to agree to give up our control of the company for such a lousy deal. They have the cash to do a massive buyback of U.S. shares. We will demand that and they will not have the conversion to use as an excuse. The buyback combined with improving business conditions will bring the shares closer to fair value. If they refuse we will demand a change in management. Once we reach fair value, they can look again at consolidation, but this time on more fair terms. We will not give up control of the company without at least a small premium on our shares, and NOT including a taxable dividend. Caff, this is an absolutely unfair deal, and I fail to understand how you agree to let them shove it up our rectums. I realize this outcome is not likely, but me and my associates refuse to roll over and make this easy for them.

  • Reply to

    Off topic: EXAS

    by davegras Jul 26, 2016 11:14 AM
    jayand777 jayand777 Jul 26, 2016 8:33 PM Flag

    Dave, I received the call from the shareholder proxy firm today. I voted no on all proposals and was able to get an admission from the caller that there are many unhappy U.S. shareholders. She also indicated that companies do not spend money on proxy firms unless they are struggling to get enough votes. Clearly many shareholders are "abstaining" from voting out of frustration about this lousy deal.

  • Reply to

    Put up or shut up

    by sean777007 Jun 18, 2016 5:44 PM
    jayand777 jayand777 Jun 23, 2016 1:44 AM Flag

    Caff, we can agree to disagree. I believe at $32 the stock was ridiculously overvalued. I also believe the current $10 fairly values the company for the opportunity it has. What it does with the opportunity in the next 2-3 years will determine the stock price. And as for the colonoscopy, the prep work is the least concern for the many people who refuse. It is the actual process of insertion of the tube/camera, just like the glove test for prostrate. You are vastly underestimating the numbers of men who refuse both. Foolish, absolutely. But they refuse. Every day.

  • Reply to

    Put up or shut up

    by sean777007 Jun 18, 2016 5:44 PM
    jayand777 jayand777 Jun 22, 2016 8:40 PM Flag

    Caff, huge numbers of men just flat out refuse a colonoscopy. Stool tests remain as a good, admittedly less definitive option. And Cologuard seems to be a step above the others in accuracy. So EXAS targets the people who refuse and thinks there are enough of them to make a decent profit eventually. I think realistically the stock can reach $20 within 3 years.

  • Reply to

    Question/Advice from long-timers

    by johnboywalton56 Jun 15, 2016 4:53 PM
    jayand777 jayand777 Jun 17, 2016 5:54 PM Flag

    "I wish we could hear some information about the future of 8150 and stop dwelling on the past".

    Caff, this is a perfect example of why the board is frustrated with you. You, not us, have the ability to pick up the phone and talk to management. You, not us, have the opportunity to TELL management that they are about to lose a bunch of long-time shareholders. You, not us, can tell them that they NEED to open up more about the future of 8150 to re-assure the investor base and do so SOON. You, not us can explain that the U.S. shareholders demand a buyback now rather than an overdue, and TAXABLE dividend.

    And please spare me the rebuttal that you do not have that ability. When they contacted YOU to purchase in a shelf offering 10% below market prices, you gained that access. And with even THOSE purchases now underwater, you should have even MORE access.

  • Reply to

    Question/Advice from long-timers

    by johnboywalton56 Jun 15, 2016 4:53 PM
    jayand777 jayand777 Jun 17, 2016 11:14 AM Flag

    Caff, OF COURSE this board has changed. How could it not? Management has shafted U.S. shareholders every single step of this conversion process, and the shareholders feel betrayed and angry. You are about the only one willing to give them a pass time after time, rather than using your clout as a major shareholder to contact Baupost and others to demand a better deal. YOU were at the big meeting in New York a few years ago. YOU were on the invite list. YOU are privy to the other large shareholders who were present. YOU have the ability to organize another meeting. Yet YOU choose to let them ram this #$%$ deal up or #$%$ and apologize for them. You picked up a tab for the Vegas group as you all congratulated each other on your investing brilliance, but you have done nothing since.

  • Reply to

    Question/Advice from long-timers

    by johnboywalton56 Jun 15, 2016 4:53 PM
    jayand777 jayand777 Jun 17, 2016 11:02 AM Flag

    Caff, maybe I am just naive, but I believe it is not too late for us to convince SJ/SK that U.S. shareholders have been shafted at every turn and get a bone thrown our way. Personally, I wish Baupost would issue a public letter asking shareholders to back him and vote down the whole conversion. It is a terrible decision for us to give up our majority control of the company for the deal we are getting. I would vote to stop the deal and re-negotiate the terms, but not until AFTER a $100m accelerated buyback of IMOS shares.

    If the deal DOES go through, as I expect, I will also NOT be selling quickly. After three tough years of business, many Taiwan tech companies appear to be forecasting strength. As cycles go, this has been a long and tough one. If we are at the cusp of a decent turnaround, I have the patience to let it play out.

  • jayand777 by jayand777 Jun 17, 2016 10:20 AM Flag

    Sean, I am taking a look at EXAS now that the insurance issue seems to have been cleared up. Realistically where do you see the stock trading in one year and why?

  • Reply to

    Question/Advice from long-timers

    by johnboywalton56 Jun 15, 2016 4:53 PM
    jayand777 jayand777 Jun 17, 2016 9:39 AM Flag

    IIG, Caff's latest response is more like an acknowledgement with a request for forgiveness of management.

    "Yes, Jimmy, your wife cheated on you with your best friend last year then cleaned out your bank account last week, but she didn't MEAN to do it. She really means well and will try to be a better wife going forward. She's just trying to figure out this whole 'wife' thing. Just realize that all that is in the past and move on and trust her. After all, you're ALREADY married to her, you might as well just stay with her and expect her to change."

    Yeah. Ok.

  • Reply to

    Question/Advice from long-timers

    by johnboywalton56 Jun 15, 2016 4:53 PM
    jayand777 jayand777 Jun 16, 2016 7:32 PM Flag

    Caff, OF COURSE 8150 shareholders have no problem with SJ/SK, why would they?? Every single step in this process has benefitted them!!

    As for your statement about the timing, you are dead wrong and you know it. Management absolutely gave a timetable at the outset then bumbled and stumbled along, delaying the conclusion several times. The delays caused them to miss the bulk of the tech rally and put the process directly into the headwinds of a chip slowdown, and even through 3 different Nasdaq corrections.

    We understand that you have an allegiance to management. Very clearly you have been given priveleges abd information unavailable to us. You were even selected by them to take part in shelf offerings below market prices! But your credibility is gone. And you continue to support a management team that has done nothing in 3 years but DESTROY shareholder value.

  • jayand777 jayand777 Jun 9, 2016 12:15 PM Flag

    Has anyone verified if the Asus deal is a per-unit revenue model or a licensing model? Big difference.

  • Reply to

    It's a good thing...

    by chump_whisperer Jun 8, 2016 11:10 AM
    jayand777 jayand777 Jun 8, 2016 6:03 PM Flag

    Best Buy is all about their private label business. Karen needs to approach BB about manufacturing their Insignia headphones and game controllers.

  • jayand777 by jayand777 Jun 7, 2016 9:33 AM Flag

    Regardless of WHO the new retailer is, a big wild card being overlooked is Gamestop. They have been Madcatz' biggest, most loyal U.S. retail customer for years. They have what, 4000 locations? And the gamers go there. They will certainly carry the new ARK line. If Karen can pull off the financing and manufacturing, this exciting new line could be a big Christmas hit and provide Madcatz with a q3 providing nearly half their annual revenues. Quarterly numbers of $15m, $20m, $40M,and $20M add up to operating profits.

  • Reply to

    I'm very curious about RB4 sales...

    by microcaptrader Jun 4, 2016 3:23 PM
    jayand777 jayand777 Jun 6, 2016 1:25 AM Flag

    Tabby, I have the conference call transcript in front of me, and no where does it say that management is "crystal clear" they will get the $8.3M. Confident, yes, but nothing close to a guarantee. In fact, listed as a "risk" at the top of the release is if they are UNABLE to get the 8.3. What IS made very clear in the call is that IF they get the 8.3 it will be at ZERO margin. Hopefully by now at least half of it is gone with agreements in place to sell the rest to Amazon and others.

  • jayand777 jayand777 Jun 3, 2016 9:10 AM Flag

    Lolli, it is not Gamestop. She said it was a retailer that had not carried Tritton since 2014. My guess is Best Buy. Hopefully Target and WM will pick up a few sku's as well.

    Tabby, the $8.3M in RB4 inventory will be at ZERO margin. That number is what they expect to recoup from the boxes in the warehouse. It probably represents about $12M in inventory that has already been written down to what they expect to liquidate it for. Think of that as nothing more than a transfer from dead inventory to badly needed cash.

    Full disclosure: sold about 30% of my holdings after the last earnings debacle and will give Karen another year on the rest. Biggest holdings presently are HIMX and TSEM and building a position on TWTR.

  • Reply to

    Pro forma Income Statement

    by xwallstcfo Jun 3, 2016 12:23 AM
    jayand777 jayand777 Jun 3, 2016 2:04 AM Flag

    X, i would be conservative at 10% non-RB sales growth and 25% margins.

    And they seem confident that the $8.3M in RB inventory will be turned into cash by September. The one thing I wish was clarified was if that $8.3M in inventory was as of March 31 or as of TODAY. Amazon is still selling a decent amount of inventory, so if that number was as of quarter-end, a good chunk of it might already be gone.

  • Reply to

    classic pump em dump.

    by anotherahole Jun 1, 2016 9:59 AM
    jayand777 jayand777 Jun 2, 2016 12:37 AM Flag

    Cheetah, your delivery stinks, but you have been on the right side of the trade for a long time. But if the market looks 6 months ahead, it sees Micron turning around. We agree earnings this month will be beyond atrocious, but it should mark the bottom of the cycle. Question is if the stock trades on the bad earnings or the improving outlook. Because they forecast so poorly, I am guessing that we see the 10's once more before the turnaround. And I will use that opportunity to jump on the 2018 calls.

  • jayand777 jayand777 May 31, 2016 11:39 PM Flag

    Roy, PXLW CEO Walicek was replaced months ago.

  • Reply to

    Question

    by jayand777 May 24, 2016 4:39 PM
    jayand777 jayand777 May 25, 2016 6:50 PM Flag

    I trade the stock every year. But it low, sell on the next runup.

IMOS
17.50-0.04(-0.23%)Jul 28 4:00 PMEDT