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CC MEDİA HOLDİNG CLA Message Board

lottopol.geo 5181 posts  |  Last Activity: Jun 27, 2016 10:52 AM Member since: Jun 10, 2000
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  • "...projection for the July 2016 dividend for MORL and MORL and its essentially identical twin the UBS ETRACS Monthly Pay 2X Leveraged Mortgage REIT ETN Series B is $0.655. The projection for the dividend is calculated using the contribution by component method....
    seekingalpha /article/3984570

  • Been trying to reorder products from groupon for weeks and always get this message "You can only purchase at most [missing {{maximumQuantity}} value] item(s) at a time. Please adjust your order." there is no way to adjust the order that makes it work, when I try to complete the order. Now there is no way to inform Groupn of this anymore on their website.

  • "...projection is that the May 2016 CEFL dividend will be $0.2574. This is more than the February 2016 dividend of $0.2109 and the $0.2174 March 2016 CEFL dividend. The April 2016 CEFL dividend of $0.2731 was larger than February 2016 and March 2016 since the two components that pay quarterly were included.

    There was also an increase in the net asset or indicative value of CEFL from $13.8794 at the end of February 2016 to $16.2107 on April 18, 2016. As the value of the closed-end funds in the portfolio increase, portfolio assets must be increased to maintain the leverage level. This increases the dividend, separate from any changes in the dividends paid by the closed-end funds in the portfolio. The relationship between the net asset value of a 2X leveraged ETN and the dividend is explained more fully in MORL's Net Asset Value Rises - Implications For The Dividends..."
    seekingalpha /article/3967757

  • "...For the three months ending April 2016, the total projected dividends are $0.7671. The annualized dividends would be $3.0683. This is a 24.4% simple annualized yield with MORL priced at $12.56 On a monthly compounded basis, the effective annualized yield is 27.4%...."
    seekingalpha /article/3961432

  • Reply to

    Woo Hoo! Payday baby!

    by srmedusa Mar 15, 2016 1:42 PM
    lottopol.geo lottopol.geo Mar 18, 2016 8:37 AM Flag

    Has anyone gotten their interest payment yet?

  • Reply to

    Woo Hoo! Payday baby!

    by srmedusa Mar 15, 2016 1:42 PM
    lottopol.geo lottopol.geo Mar 16, 2016 12:47 AM Flag

    Fidelity has already taken the March 15 interest out and I don't see any official announcement of a bankruptcy filing or not paying the March 15 interest.

  • The iShares Mortgage Real Estate Capped ETF (NYSEARCA:REM) will soon declare its quarterly dividend, which will be paid at the end of March 2016. The table below shows each of the 37 mREITs in the REM portfolio, the weight, number of shares, price, ex-dividend date, dividend amount and the dividend frequency from each component using data as of March 13, 2016....."
    http://seekingalpha /article/3958298

  • There are two schools of thought regarding the future direction of oil prices. The geopolitical approach is that major producers such as Saudi Arabia and Russia will keep flooding the world oil market precluding any recovery in oil prices in the foreseeable future. The other approach regarding the future direction of oil prices is based on fact that all oil and gas production in any period is the result of previous exploration and production capital expenditures. Since all oil wells deplete, albeit at widely varying rates, no drilling today eventually results in no oil at some future date. This approach is taken in our article: Will Oil Production Fall Off A Cliff? http://seekingalpha /article/3793456-will-oil-production-fall-off-a-cliff In that article, we utilize macro models to relate world oil prices to exploration and production capital expenditures. We then utilize macro models to relate world exploration and production capital expenditures to oil supply.

    The word cliff with regard to future oil supply refers to a situation where the decline in oil production resulting from the ongoing reduction of exploration and production capital expenditures will not significantly impact total supply for a while due to the enormous amount of oil stockpiled in storage tanks, ships and drilled but uncompleted wells. In the way that cartoon characters like Wile E. Coyote and the Road Runner run off a cliff and seem not to fall for a while, but then drop precipitously, when the stockpiled oil runs out, the reduced production will cause effective total supply to plummet.

    There was an old rule of thumb that it takes $20 of exploration and production capital expenditures to produce a barrel of oil. Like all such generalizations, the actual relationship between exploration and production capital expenditures to barrel of oils produced varies greatly. However, by most accounts, the decline in oil prices in recent years has reduced ...." seekingalpha.com/article/3802226

  • Reply to

    projection for the March 2016 dividend for MORL

    by lottopol.geo Feb 26, 2016 10:09 PM
    lottopol.geo lottopol.geo Mar 3, 2016 3:59 AM Flag

    Actual
    Payment Date Coupon Amount Ex-Date Record Date
    3/21/2016 $0.0364 3/09/2016 3/11/2016

  • lottopol.geo lottopol.geo Feb 29, 2016 3:27 PM Flag

    It was a typo. It is correct now on the original.

  • The March 2016 CEFL dividend should include all of the 28 monthly paying components. My projection is that the March 2016 CEFL dividend will be $0.2332. This is less than the February 2016 dividend of $0.2109. The increase from the February 2016 dividend is due to the fact that some of the high dividend closed-end funds that pay monthly did not have ex-dividends in January 2016, and thus were not included in the February 2016 dividend. Those closed-end funds mostly had two ex-dates in December 2015 and none in January 2016. This is a common practice for closed-end funds which have a "clean-up" additional dividend in December to facilitate compliance with the regulations which require regulated investment companies distribute most of their income to shareholders each year. The April 2016 CEFL dividend will be larger than March since the two components that pay quarterly will be included...."
    seekingalpha article /3938406

  • "....projection for the March 2016 dividend for MORL and its' new, effectively identical, sister the UBS ETRACS Monthly Pay 2X Leveraged Mortgage REIT ETN Series B (NYSEARCA:MRRL) is $0.036....."
    seekingalpha /article/3936016

  • There are two schools of thought regarding the future direction of oil prices. The geopolitical approach is that major producers such as Saudi Arabia and Russia will keep flooding the world oil market precluding any recovery in oil prices in the foreseeable future. The other approach regarding the future direction of oil prices is based on fact that all oil and gas production in any period is the result of previous exploration and production capital expenditures. Since all oil wells deplete, albeit at widely varying rates, no drilling today eventually results in no oil at some future date. This approach is taken in our article: Will Oil Production Fall Off A Cliff? seekingalpha./article/3793456-will-oil-production-fall-off-a-cliff In that article, we utilize macro models to relate world oil prices to exploration and production capital expenditures. We then utilize macro models to relate world exploration and production capital expenditures to oil supply.

    The word cliff with regard to future oil supply refers to a situation where the decline in oil production resulting from the ongoing reduction of exploration and production capital expenditures will not significantly impact total supply for a while due to the enormous amount of oil stockpiled in storage tanks, ships and drilled but uncompleted wells. In the way that cartoon characters like Wile E. Coyote and the Road Runner run off a cliff and seem not to fall for a while, but then drop precipitously, when the stockpiled oil runs out, the reduced production will cause effective total supply to plummet.
    There was an old rule of thumb that it takes $20 of exploration and production capital expenditures to produce a barrel of oil. Like all such generalizations, the actual relationship between exploration and production capital expenditures to barrel of oils produced varies greatly. However, by most accounts, the decline in oil prices in recent years has reduced exploration and .."
    seekingalpha. /article/3802226

  • lottopol.geo lottopol.geo Feb 13, 2016 12:11 PM Flag

    There has been a tremendous decline in the prices of mREITs in January 2016. Part is obviously due to the decline in the overall market. However, the decline in the mREITs and thus MORL, MRRL and MORT is somehat perplexing. Day-to-day book value figures are not available for mREITs. However, the market prices of the mREITs are far below any of the most recent published book value figures. Since the end of 2015 the ten-year treasury interest rate has declined to about 2%. This should tend to increase the value of the mortgage-backed securities held by the mREITs. The 25 basis point Federal reserve rate increase should slightly increase the book value of the swaps and futures contracts employed by mREITs for hedging. Logically, the book value of the mREITs should be higher now than at year-end 2015. That is one reason why I am still bullish on MORL, although it is definitely not for the faint-hearted...."
    seekingalpha /article/3838916

  • CEFL has a seasonal factor which causes the February dividend to be lower than all of the other monthly dividend.
    Even with a smaller February dividend the annualized dividend on a monthly compounded basis is 26.8%.
    The weighted average discount to book value for the closed-end funds that comprise CEFL and YYY is now 13.52%.
    Even though 28 of the 30 high dividend closed-end funds that comprise the index upon which the UBS ETRACS Monthly Pay 2xLeveraged Closed-End Fund ETN (NYSEARCA:CEFL) and the YieldShares High Income ETF (NYSEARCA:YYY) is based pay monthly dividends, there is a seasonal factor involved with the February 2016 CEFL dividend. Of the 30 components in the index, nine will not have ex-dividend dates in January 2016. Thus, they will not contribute to the February 2016 CEFL dividend.
    Only the Morgan Stanley Emerging Markets Domestic Debt Fund (NYSE:EDD) and the Royce Value Trust (NYSE:RVT), a newly added component, now pay quarterly dividends in January, April, October, and July. Thus, EDD and RVT will not be included in the February 2016. Additionally, there are seven other components that pay monthly, but will not have ex-dividend dates in January 2016. As shown in the table below, which also indicates which components were newly added in the rebalancing in January 2016, these closed-end funds mostly had two ex-dates in December 2015 and none in January 2016. This is a common practice for closed-end funds who have a "clean-up" additional dividend in December to facilitate compliance with the regulations which require regulated investment companies distribute most of their income to shareholders each year..."
    seekingalpha /article/3852646

  • "...On a monthly compounded basis that brings MORL's annualized dividend to a record 36%.

    My projection for the February 2016 dividend for the UBS ETRACS Monthly Pay 2X Leveraged Mortgage REIT ETN (NYSEARCA:MORL) and its' new, effectively identical, sister the UBS ETRACS Monthly Pay 2X Leveraged Mortgage REIT ETN Series B (NYSEARCA:MRRL) is $0.0342. This is the second lowest monthly dividend MORL has ever paid. Only the February 2013 dividend of $0.0313 was lower.
    Only two of the 25 MORL components: American Capital Agency Corp. (NASDAQ:AGNC) and ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (NYSE:ARR) had ex-dividend dates in January 2016. ...."
    seekingalpha article/3838916

  • •Our models indicate that $40 oil is unsustainable as supply will eventual fall of a cliff.

    •If Swift Energy And Sandridge Energy can survive long enough for oil to rebound the returns on their securities could be enormous.

    •Swift Energy has filed a prepackaged plan that allows current shareholders to retail 4% of the equity in the new company plus warrants for additional shares.

    •The possibility that Swift Energy could emerge without bond debt and with significant assets presents an interesting opportunity albeit with enormous risks....
    seekingalpha /article/3802226

  • Our macro models indicate that the long-run supply curve quantity for oil at a price of $40 is about 80 million barrels per day. Thus, $40 is an unsustainable price. World demand is about 95 million barrels per day. This is not considering any increase in fuel consumption that may result from lower prices. The decline in world exploration and production capital expenditures so far, are predicted for 2016 alone are projected by our models to reduce oil output by 7.1 million barrels per day..
    seekingalpha /article/3802226

  • "The oil bust will kill off 19 million barrels per day (MMBD) of future oil production."
    seekingalpha article/3793456

  • lottopol.geo lottopol.geo Dec 22, 2015 5:32 PM Flag

    Actually, it may be higher since PMT announced their dividend and it does go ex-dividend in December and that was not included in the $0.6729 projection
    seekingalpha article/3771576