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Federated National Holding Company Message Board

mutinycapital 2 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 3, 2016 5:56 PM Member since: Mar 6, 2009
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  • Reply to

    last week's 8-K

    by mutinycapital Mar 28, 2016 4:19 PM
    mutinycapital mutinycapital Apr 3, 2016 5:56 PM Flag

    I think they gave up on the multi-state/multi-line strategy years ago. They used to talk about it quite a bit on the cc's, but then never progressed towards putting a plan into action. The problem now is the Monarch JV. It was a huge strategic mistake. FNHC overcapitalized itself and then didn't write any business in the JV. FNHC has all the expense and capital from the JV without any earnings. It will take too long to grow the JV to the level that they need to get the stock price moving. I think the only solution to boost the stock price is to sell the company. They could possibly get an acquiror to give them credit for the future value fo the JV, but I don't think the public market will.

  • mutinycapital by mutinycapital Mar 28, 2016 4:19 PM Flag

    Surprised people aren't discussing that FNHC is bidding on Geico business. It worked well with Allstate. Now if they can get rid the JV working. So far it's been a great waste of capital. I figured FNHC would have done around $3.51 in earnings in FY15 if they hadn't done that last capital raise. The stock price would be higher if that were the case because they would be showing earnings growth. Instead, the JV is an anchor holding the earnings and stock price down. That's why there's the share buyback.

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