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American Capital Agency Corp. Message Board

raybans2 51 posts  |  Last Activity: Jul 12, 2016 8:48 AM Member since: Dec 15, 2005
  • Reply to

    Jobless claims dropped significantly

    by raybans2 Jul 7, 2016 9:40 AM
    raybans2 raybans2 Jul 7, 2016 12:13 PM Flag

    You can figure out a way to profit from any situation even if it is eroding jobs in the US. That doesn't mean we allow it to continue because the end game is we have rich and poor and no one in between. And that leads to political instability. You can't do anything about robots replacing workers but you can prevent countries from artificially lowering the labor rate in their country via currency manipulation so that no one in the rest of the world can compete against their labor rates.

    It is impossible to have an on going trade imbalance between countries with floating currencies without currency manipulation. The country with the trade surplus has to peg their currency by stashing excess US dollars in their central banks otherwise their currency would rise in value causing the trade imbalance to disappear. The fact that a trade imbalance even exist is proof enough that central banks are stashing our currency to create a peg. And that is how they steal our middle class jobs so that they can have them instead. There is no justification to allow this because in the long run it undermines our economy. Products from China are artificially cheap so obviously a remedy results in us paying more for their products. So you have a choice. Pay more for Chinese products or have no future for our children. I think the decision is a no brainer. Unless of course you don't care about the future of our children.

  • raybans2 raybans2 Jul 7, 2016 11:58 AM Flag

    The only reason so many people short TVIX is because it consistently trends down. And the fact that now you cannot easily find hard to borrow shares after TVIX spikes up significantly pretty much tells you that the market has this stock figured out. Otherwise this would not be happening. And thus the necessity for the need to move to calendar spreads. The demand to short TVIX has risen so sharply because people are making money doing it. And if shorts are making money consistently it means longs are not. Because you cant have both sides of the trade making money consistently. That is not possible.

  • raybans2 raybans2 Jul 7, 2016 11:52 AM Flag

    So to be nice then I should encourage you to buy more TVIX? That would seem pretty underhanded on my part if I did that. Don't you think it would be pretty deceitful on my part to trick people into losing money? I think my post inform people on how I make money on TVIX with limited risk using stop losses.

    In the future when I learn more about calendar put spreads and if this is profitable I will post on that too. Would that also be mean as well if I'm making money with another method that is betting that TVIX will go down? I like the calendar put spread because your losses are capped but you cant be stopped out of your position by the execution of a limit order. I just need to get more familiar with placing these kinds of trades which involves choosing dates that result in the optimum profits given the behavior of TVIX. The trade it's self is text book but no one can tell you the best dates to pick. That is the hard part.

    The nice thing is that Fidelity has a tool that makes analyzing option spreads easy. And then allows you to place an order for both sides of the spread to be executed simultaneously. Otherwise I might be reluctant top buy one side not knowing if I could get the other side at the desired price.

  • Reply to

    Jobless claims dropped significantly

    by raybans2 Jul 7, 2016 9:40 AM
    raybans2 raybans2 Jul 7, 2016 11:36 AM Flag

    Yes, middle class jobs left to China due to China's ability to manipulate their currency so that it didn't rise in value due to trade imbalances which if left unchecked would have caused their currency to rise in value and thus causing the trade imbalance to be remedied as real wages in China to rise. This happened on every presidents watch since the 1980s. That is water under the bridge. What is important now is that we elect people who have woken up to this fact and have it as their primary agenda to fix it by applying penalties to currency manipulators.

    So ask yourself. Who is talking about this in their election campaigns and who appears to not even be focused on it? I already know this answer but I think it is better if you discover this for yourself so you won't feel defensive when you discover the truth. All I can say is that if you are a die hard Democrat and you probably don't want to know. It would be better for you if you just ignore this fact and pretend that the situation doesn't exist. After all, it seems to be working pretty well for the democrat politicians and the last thing they need are people asking them knowledgeable questions. Because you will get hate mail if you did that. And we certainly don't want that. Trust me, you don't want to go there.

  • Reply to

    Hillary

    by penystoc Jul 7, 2016 10:31 AM
    raybans2 raybans2 Jul 7, 2016 11:21 AM Flag

    Feeling sorry for yourself? The world hasn't given you the easy breaks it was supposed to? People who have money don't go looking for breaks. They don't need them. And they never expected them. That is why they have money. I worked 32 hours a week to pay my bills in college and I never applied for aid. I didn't figure I needed it. Its all in your head. If you think you need someone else's help then you will never get anywhere. Because you are waiting around instead of actually getting there.

  • This will surely upset the recession mongers. But it is what it is. No such thing as a looming recession with tightening labor markets. However the Fed is taking notice I'm sure. I guess employers didn't get the brexit memo.

  • Reply to

    uhhh

    by electrowing Jul 6, 2016 12:04 PM
    raybans2 raybans2 Jul 7, 2016 9:34 AM Flag

    Which means if will be a great deal. A gift as they say.

  • raybans2 by raybans2 Jul 7, 2016 9:18 AM Flag

    For the last few quarters wage growth has exceeded GPD growth due to tightening labor markets. This wiil eat into corporate profits and force companies to raise prices. That means inflation. It might take a few years to play out but the Fed will have to raise rates then.

  • Then TVIX is always a great deal. Never mind that TVIX is usually worth less daily. A good deal for 10 seconds is still a good deal. Know that you had a good deal for a little while upon reflection of losses in the past.

  • raybans2 raybans2 Jul 7, 2016 9:02 AM Flag

    4.25 was a good deal back then. It always looks a good deal if a lower price is how you define a good deal.

  • raybans2 raybans2 Jul 7, 2016 8:58 AM Flag

    TVIX is only worth what it is selling for at the time. There is no such thing as a deal. It never gets under valued.

  • raybans2 raybans2 Jul 7, 2016 3:32 AM Flag

    Am I mean? Thought I was just precise.

  • raybans2 raybans2 Jul 6, 2016 5:52 PM Flag

    You mean a gift for shorts? Because TVIX doesn't have a value. It cant be over sold.

  • raybans2 raybans2 Jul 6, 2016 5:50 PM Flag

    I don't know their story because I don't track them. What did they do to cause this?

  • Reply to

    Clinton will be great for TVIX

    by penystoc Jul 6, 2016 1:25 PM
    raybans2 raybans2 Jul 6, 2016 2:00 PM Flag

    The Democrats are now campaigning on open borders to win the support of the people who have relatives on the other side of our borders. Having a free for all of people running across the border isn't in the interest of the people who will pay the taxes to support them or the peoples whose jobs they take or even the people who are already here and will have to share limited tax revenues among a growing number of recipients so exactly whose interest are these politicians looking after? Their own because all these new people will vote Democrat because that's the reason they are coming here in the first place, which is to get what the Democrats are promising them. They are buying future votes. And as long as people allow them to think that that they will get a pass on this kind of behavior then why wouldn't these Democrat politicians allow more voters in at a cost to current constituents? No one is telling them not to. So why would they care about the people who pay for this? Currently they believe that the Democrat voters in this country are in the bag. That they have their vote regardless. And I believe they are right. These voters will allow their standard of living to be undermined as long as a Democrat does it. Then the next time a Republican gets in office they will complain about their current situation but only then. And I am convinced they don't even understand what they are doing. It doesn't even occur to them.

  • raybans2 raybans2 Jul 6, 2016 1:48 PM Flag

    Support is a technical term used to gauge investor's determination to buy or to hold a stock. So who is the investor here? Its not us? We don't influence the price. Arbitrage traders see to that. So who are they?

  • raybans2 raybans2 Jul 6, 2016 1:45 PM Flag

    You are just now figuring that out? That's been my assumption for years.

  • Reply to

    this tvix sucks any way you sugar coat in

    by walla1957 Jul 5, 2016 10:27 PM
    raybans2 raybans2 Jul 6, 2016 1:44 PM Flag

    The investors in VIX futures are going to do what they want to do, not what you want them to do. I don't think that these investors are out to get you.

  • Reply to

    Sod all my shares!!!!

    by higgsernie Jul 5, 2016 3:06 PM
    raybans2 raybans2 Jul 5, 2016 11:36 PM Flag

    Why didn't you short at the peaks? What's bad for longs is good for shorts

  • Reply to

    Contagion

    by mtnrunnrgolden Jul 5, 2016 9:49 PM
    raybans2 raybans2 Jul 5, 2016 11:35 PM Flag

    If this was really true it wouldn't need to be said

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