Everyone is too preoccupied with the oversupply situation.
But, there are plenty of risks in the world that could drive oil up in the blink of the eye--such as what the Libyan civil war in 2008 did then to drive a V-shaped recovery. Today--Libya is still unstable, as are SA-Iran, Nigeria, Iraq, etc.
THANK YOU! for stating the what's plainly clear as the blue sky.
What should be plainly obvious is obviously not so to many others who prefer to blame the world for their own decisions and carry on like a baby in a public forum. They're not even smart enough to be embarrassed by their stupidity.