How does the price action tell you insiders are selling shares?
"For example, if they have impasse with SAFE, they can be accused of fraud by making this statement."
And if this is the case, what are you going to do about it? That PR meant absolutely nothing. Anyone remember Angbang bidding on Starwood? Yeah, we got this. On second thought, nevermind.
I'm not saying the deal won't close, but I am saying that PR is worthless. That is why the gap remained at 9% after it came out.
How is arbitrage a "fools game"? Benn making a living at it for years. It is not for stupid people, so if you are one of those, or don't understand it, don't comment on it. By the looks of things, you are one or the other or both.